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11-10-2012, 10:48 AM
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#1
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 20, 2011
Location: kansas
Posts: 28,773
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Hey Whirrly
I know the election is over,but if you ever want a poll that works check out.Nate Silver's five thirty eight blog.He predicted all 50 states correctly plus the senate and house .
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11-10-2012, 10:59 AM
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#2
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Dec 23, 2009
Location: Central Texas
Posts: 15,047
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ekim008
I know the election is over,but if you ever want a poll that works check out.Nate Silver's five thirty eight blog.He predicted all 50 states correctly plus the senate and house .
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You are correct about 538! Unlike Rasmussen, Nate Silver was spot on! Rasmussen was spot off! You have to hand it to Nate, he has the most precise final tabulation method of anyone in the business!
Another excellent source was Real Clear Politics. With the possible exception of Florida, RCP accurately picked the final electoral count. RCP had Florida going to Romney by less than a single percentage point. It appears it will go to Obama by approximately the same, slim margin! In any event, RCP was very close!
And Whirly, RCP accurately predicted throughout the entire 2012 election season that:
Wisconsin was "trending" Obama all along!
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11-10-2012, 11:01 AM
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#3
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jun 12, 2011
Location: Olathe
Posts: 16,815
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Are you even aware of the report (or do you even care) that Silver was given access to the inside polls of the Obama campaign? Kind of easy to predict things when you have the teams playbook. I'd to see this guy's system work without the unfair advantage.
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11-10-2012, 11:06 AM
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#4
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Dec 23, 2009
Location: Central Texas
Posts: 15,047
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JD Barleycorn
Are you even aware of the report (or do you even care) that Silver was given access to the inside polls of the Obama campaign? Kind of easy to predict things when you have the teams playbook. I'd to see this guy's system work without the unfair advantage.
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JD, we can debate methodology 'till the cows come home. What matters is results and Nate Silver delivered. It doesn't matter how he got there, only that he was closer than anyone else!
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11-10-2012, 11:07 AM
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#5
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Mar 30, 2009
Location: Hwy 380 Revisited
Posts: 3,333
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duh, jdbarleywhine, was 538 right or not? If he WAS - which is certain - then WHO had the correct data - Obama or Romney?
Take your fu*king checkers off of my chess board, grab your ankles and prepare to get run over by superior personnel, data and intelligence. Oh, wait! That happened already on Tuesday - sorry (not), my bad...heh heh heh.
Get back to work, the Student Union basement needs mopping.
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11-10-2012, 11:09 AM
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#6
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Dec 23, 2009
Location: Central Texas
Posts: 15,047
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Randy4Candy
Take your fu*king checkers off of my chess board.
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I don't care what anyone says, the above quote was pretty damn funny!
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11-10-2012, 12:59 PM
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#7
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 20, 2011
Location: kansas
Posts: 28,773
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JD Barleycorn
Are you even aware of the report (or do you even care) that Silver was given access to the inside polls of the Obama campaign? Kind of easy to predict things when you have the teams playbook. I'd to see this guy's system work without the unfair advantage.
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Are you saying Obama's poll is more accurate than Rasmussen? Actually he will not reveil his program.but he uses several polls.
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11-10-2012, 01:02 PM
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#8
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Valued Poster
Join Date: May 20, 2010
Location: Wichita
Posts: 28,730
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Obama knew which votes would be counted, even though they weren't actually cast. 140% turnout in St. Lucie County, Florida? Really? Several precincts in Cleveland voting 100% for Obama? Seriously?
Yeah, Obama's polls were the best.
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11-10-2012, 02:28 PM
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#9
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 24, 2010
Posts: 3,039
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Yea, and Dick Morris had the other candidate's inside poll numbers...see how that worked out, lol
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11-10-2012, 02:36 PM
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#10
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Dec 23, 2009
Location: Central Texas
Posts: 15,047
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vkmaster
Yea, and Dick Morris had the other candidate's inside poll numbers...see how that worked out, lol
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Did Dick Morris fund his Romney polling data through Karl Marx errrrr Rove's Super PAC?
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11-10-2012, 06:09 PM
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#11
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 20, 2011
Location: kansas
Posts: 28,773
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CuteOldGuy
Obama knew which votes would be counted, even though they weren't actually cast. 140% turnout in St. Lucie County, Florida? Really? Several precincts in Cleveland voting 100% for Obama? Seriously?
Yeah, Obama's polls were the best.
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You wingers are funny at times.are these counts in your head?
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11-10-2012, 06:44 PM
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#12
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Dec 23, 2009
Location: Central Texas
Posts: 15,047
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ekim008
You wingers are funny at times.are these counts in your head?
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They replaced the visions of sugarplums left over from StupidOldFart's childhood years!
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11-10-2012, 06:48 PM
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#13
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 24, 2010
Posts: 3,039
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigtex
Did Dick Morris fund his Romney polling data through Karl Marx errrrr Rove's Super PAC?
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bigtex...you sure could be right, lol
I would probably go with the theory that you pulled them out of his ass...but that old Karl Marx is a tricky one.
Guess it would go to show further proof that Obama isn't a Marxist
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11-10-2012, 11:18 PM
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#14
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 24, 2010
Posts: 3,039
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Edit to post...sorry bigtex,,,in my above post I was intending to say "he pulled them out" rather than "you pulled them out"....dam smart phones, lol
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11-11-2012, 03:06 AM
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#15
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Dec 23, 2009
Location: Central Texas
Posts: 15,047
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vkmaster
Edit to post...sorry bigtex,,,in my above post I was intending to say "he pulled them out" rather than "you pulled them out"....dam smart phones, lol
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I knew what you meant. Did StupidOldFart?
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