538: Election Update: What Are The Chances Of A Brokered Convention?

[dilbert firestorm]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ed-convention/


A brokered convention is not a likely occurrence, exactly. But it’s not unlikely, either. It’s roughly as likely as the Tennessee Titans beating the Baltimore Ravens earlier this month, or Donald Trump winning the Electoral College despite losing the popular vote. According to the FiveThirtyEight primary model, there’s a 15 percent chance that no Democrat wins a majority of pledged delegates


however, he makes a distinction between a brokered convention vs. a contested convention. the way it operated is different prior to 1970.



He says the distinction between the 2 in todays politics is minor, as far as terminology goes, they're the same thing.


He doesn't mention Bloomie until the very end of his article. He says bloomie is a wild card that polls can't adequately predict the turnout.

[The_Waco_Kid]

what are the chances of a Republican brokered convention? ZERO


BAHHAHHAAAAAAAAA

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

what are the chances of a Republican brokered convention? ZERO


BAHHAHHAAAAAAAAA

you may have a point there.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm

you may have a point there.

Yes, it's on top of his head

[oeb11]

I think - and have stated - the Fascist DPST's will have a pre-determined outcome - just like their House Impeachment proceedings.

bernie won't win nomination on the first vote - which opens up the convention.

H... controls the DNC - and will win the second vote on her manipulation of the convention. DNC is terrified of a bernie nomination.

I urge all the Conservatives to switch sides and vote for Bernie at primaries in your states. Give Bernie a chance at the nomination - the Fascist DPS's need to learn that eric salwell cannot nuke middle America - and rule with votes of the socialist state fo kalifornia and NYC.