Common sense electorate count

[Unique_Carpenter]

Remember, the polls only include those that wish to answer the pollsters questions which frequently contain inane queries.
And of course, whomever is paying for the polls usually help structure the questions.
Last, do not pollsters wish to be hired again and again for additional polls? Tight races justify follow-up polls.

[Yssup Rider]

Well put.

[Unique_Carpenter]

Thank you YR.
What is sad is that pollsters ignore that folks trained in stats, or even a decent mathematician, can easily discredit the results.
Ignoring the posted error rate, just one squirrelly question can easily distort the results, and then add the error rate on top of that and some outfit is wasting funds with the poll

[txdot-guy]

Originally Posted by Unique_Carpenter

Remember, the polls only include those that wish to answer the pollsters questions which frequently contain inane queries.
And of course, whomever is paying for the polls usually help structure the questions.
Last, do not pollsters wish to be hired again and again for additional polls? Tight races justify follow-up polls.

This is why I stopped answering pollsters. Too many simplistic or slanted questions.

[farmstud60]

Originally Posted by txdot-guy

This is why I stopped answering pollsters. Too many simplistic or slanted questions.

I don’t even like to answer product or service surveys they send from say GM or the dealer. The questions don’t tell anyone useful information

[eyecu2]

Originally Posted by farmstud60

While most of the public polls show a dead heat race, the campaigns usually pay for internal polls that are more accurate. Based on the way the Harris and Trump campaigns are going the last couple weeks says that Harris campaign is scared to death they are way behind. You don't drastically change your message in the last two weeks unless you are trailing in the polls.

LOLLING. internal polls that are "much more accurate"??

What ones are those? Special polls by Rasmussen and exit polls or ones that show "Well brad Raffensburger, we won the state- so I want to find the extra 11740 votes".

Those kinds of polls?

You don't drastically change your message in the last two weeks unless you are trailing in the polls.

Isn't it Trump whos making changes on both taxes in general, how he's gonna FIX stuff and then the constant drivel about none of this would happen under my administration (referring to Ukraine, or Korea, or Iran, or Israel). Uh....Unless you have a time machine- you wouldn't know- they are unproven assertions, and if those Abraham Accords were worth a shit- none of the issues in the Middle East would ever have happened. All fluff and zero substance.

The common sense of electoral counts will show that the 7 battleground states who have been bombarded with rhetoric and lies, will come to surface on the first week of Nov. I think it will be very close overall. No way Trump wins the popular vote overall, and I think it will be much closer than ppl think.