The home stretch to November 8th

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by adav8s28

The Red wave did not happen. "It was a good night for democrats". Joe Biden.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/video/bid...233033176.html

If Kelly keeps his lead in Arizona and Warnock tackles the former Heisman trophy winner Herschal Walker on Dec 6. The senate will be 50-50 and Vice President K. Harris will break all ties. Go Dems.

Do not put Nevada into the Republican column yet. Laxalt has a lead but it is down to 1.8%, 15,800 votes, and decreasing. 16% of the votes yet to be counted, most in the Democratic leaning Las Vegas area. Cortez Masto will have to increase the percent of the vote she is currently receiving in Clark County but victory is not impossible for her.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

Do not put Nevada into the Republican column yet. Laxalt has a lead but it is down to 1.8%, 15,800 votes, and decreasing. 16% of the votes yet to be counted, most in the Democratic leaning Las Vegas area. Cortez Masto will have to increase the percent of the vote she is currently receiving in Clark County but victory is not impossible for her.

The leader of the largest Union in LV seemed optimistic that the uncounted ballots would get her reelected, wasn't as optimistic about the Governor

[adav8s28]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

Do not put Nevada into the Republican column yet. Laxalt has a lead but it is down to 1.8%, 15,800 votes, and decreasing. 16% of the votes yet to be counted, most in the Democratic leaning Las Vegas area. Cortez Masto will have to increase the percent of the vote she is currently receiving in Clark County but victory is not impossible for her.

Thanks for the update SpeedRacerXXX. Late last night it looked like Mastro was two percentage points behind with over 80% of the vote counted. I hope you are right that she could regain the lead. The runoff is going to be close between Warnock and Walker.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by adav8s28

Thanks for the update SpeedRacerXXX. Late last night it looked like Mastro was two percentage points behind with over 80% of the vote counted. I hope you are right that she could regain the lead. The runoff is going to be close between Warnock and Walker.

The lead for Laxalt is down to 1%, 9,000 votes, with 10% of the vote uncounted. It was 2.7% a day ago. The estimated percentage of the uncounted vote that Cortez Masto must win to overtake Laxalt has dropped to maybe 53%. The majority of the uncounted votes are in Democratic leaning areas but it is difficult to make any predictions at this point in time. Both sides are confident of victory.

I think Warnock should be viewed as the favorite going into the runoff next month. He beat Walker by 35,000 votes in the general election and in the 2020 runoff election in Georgia Democrats had a stronger turnout than Republicans. And Walker won't have Kemp;s coattails to ride in the runoff.

[HedonistForever]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

The lead for Laxalt is down to 1%, 9,000 votes, with 10% of the vote uncounted. It was 2.7% a day ago. The estimated percentage of the uncounted vote that Cortez Masto must win to overtake Laxalt has dropped to maybe 53%. The majority of the uncounted votes are in Democratic leaning areas but it is difficult to make any predictions at this point in time. Both sides are confident of victory.

I think Warnock should be viewed as the favorite going into the runoff next month. He beat Walker by 35,000 votes in the general election and in the 2020 runoff election in Georgia Democrats had a stronger turnout than Republicans. And Walker won't have Kemp;s coattails to ride in the runoff.

Great, then we can continue moving in the wrong direction. An awful lot of economist's, mainly on the right, are predicting the economy to get much worse in 2023. Then there is Russia and Ukraine and China and Taiwan which could plug the world into war.


What's to worry? We'll get what we voted for. We'll continue to have that precious Democracy that is dis-functional at best.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by HedonistForever

Great, then we can continue moving in the wrong direction. An awful lot of economist's, mainly on the right, are predicting the economy to get much worse in 2023. Then there is Russia and Ukraine and China and Taiwan which could plug the world into war.


What's to worry? We'll get what we voted for. We'll continue to have that precious Democracy that is dis-functional at best.

Totally off topic.

Back on topic. Laxalt's lead is 862 votes with 94% of the ballots counted. And in the Arizona Governor's race, Hobbs continues to lead election-denier Lake by over 31,000 votes with 84% of the vote counted.

[the_real_Barleycorn]

Unless Warnock clinches it now, the worm turns. The libertarian candidate collected 81,000 votes and most libertarian will either go home or vote for the republican (conservative) candidate. If Walker gets half of those votes...he wins.
The weakness with democrats is that they want control...they want to tell us how to live our lives, what to eat, what to drive, where to live, and who to follow on social media. What self-respecting libertarian could vote for that. Only fake and weak libertarians.

To conclude, Walker is the favorite in the run off...if we have one.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by the_real_Barleycorn

Unless Warnock clinches it now, the worm turns. The libertarian candidate collected 81,000 votes and most libertarian will either go home or vote for the republican (conservative) candidate. If Walker gets half of those votes...he wins.
The weakness with democrats is that they want control...they want to tell us how to live our lives, what to eat, what to drive, where to live, and who to follow on social media. What self-respecting libertarian could vote for that. Only fake and weak libertarians.

To conclude, Walker is the favorite in the run off...if we have one.

Everthing in your post is 100% opinion.

The odds are high that many if not most Libertarians will not vote in the runoff election without their candidate on the ballot. Second, remember 2020? Democrats showed up more strongly than Republicans in the runoff. And Walker will not have the benefit of Kemp being on the ballot. I don't understand how you can say Walker is the favorite. But then you predicted Republicans to take control of the Senate by 4 or 5 seats.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

Totally off topic.

Back on topic. Laxalt's lead is 862 votes with 94% of the ballots counted. And in the Arizona Governor's race, Hobbs continues to lead election-denier Lake by over 31,000 votes with 84% of the vote counted.

Well, Cortez Masto has been declared the winner in Nevada. It's hard to call an incumbent winning an upset, but Nevada was the state that was considered the most likely to turn. Another election denier bites the dust. I thought I was being optimistic on the Democratic side when I predicted 50-50.

Hobbs lead in Arizona continues to grow with every vote drop. 34,000 vote lead with 88% of the vote counted.

[the_real_Barleycorn]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

Everthing in your post is 100% opinion.

The odds are high that many if not most Libertarians will not vote in the runoff election without their candidate on the ballot. Second, remember 2020? Democrats showed up more strongly than Republicans in the runoff. And Walker will not have the benefit of Kemp being on the ballot. I don't understand how you can say Walker is the favorite. But then you predicted Republicans to take control of the Senate by 4 or 5 seats.

You failed to mention why so many didn't vote in 2020. Trump went out of his way to say that the process in Georgia was broken and the results were rigged. That suppressed the vote among the GOP. By how many? Thousands? Tens of thousands? Hopefully, Trump won't go down that way or that experience will show people that you do have to vote.

Of course, they are going to dump hundreds of millions of dollars into Georgia. I can see wall to wall TV commercials.

[the_real_Barleycorn]

Does it bother any leftist that the same states from the last cycle are having the same strange problems getting votes counted? Almost like it was intentional.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by the_real_Barleycorn

Does it bother any leftist that the same states from the last cycle are having the same strange problems getting votes counted? Almost like it was intentional.

I'm a Libertarian but no it does not bother me.

Each state is allowed to set up their own elections.

Kinda like how you want each state to decide on abortion.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

Everthing in your post is 100% opinion.

I don't understand how you can say Walker is the favorite. But then you predicted Republicans to take control of the Senate by 4 or 5 seats.

We need to get Barelycorn to predict and then got bet the other way

[SpeedRacerXXX]

[QUOTE=the_real_Barleycorn;

And most of the states having problems are run by Republicans.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by the_real_Barleycorn

You failed to mention why so many didn't vote in 2020. Trump went out of his way to say that the process in Georgia was broken and the results were rigged. That suppressed the vote among the GOP. By how many? Thousands? Tens of thousands? Hopefully, Trump won't go down that way or that experience will show people that you do have to vote.

Of course, they are going to dump hundreds of millions of dollars into Georgia. I can see wall to wall TV commercials.

It's a nice excuse but impossible to prove. Runoff elections always have lower turnouts than the regular elections. And yes, Trump's accusations certainly helped the Democratic candidates in the 2021 Georgia runoff. I'll stick by my prediction that Warnock wins. No excuses from me if he does not. I doubt you will accept a Walker loss. You will claim voter irregularities as usual.Without proof.