Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino
Has Biden’s lead down to 4pts. Which is in the margin of error. The battle ground states are tightening too. As Randy Moss once said “ If I’m even I’m leaving”!!!!!
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/08/16/p...ust/index.html
I posted this poll for Speedy. My guess he would ignore this poll. |
I am very aware of it. It was released the same day a poll by NBC News/WSJ which had Biden +8. The next day a poll by ABC News/The Washington Post, rated A+ as a polling company based on past results, had Biden +10 among Likely Voters.
As I've said MANY times before -- my advice is to not look at a single poll but to focus on the average of ALL polls done on any subject. Biden leads by 7-8 points when that is done.
The polls I've been following, and which are good news for Trump, is the approval ratings. A rather short time ago, Trump was -16.1% according to 538. That has dropped to -12.0%.
At the state level, I have yet to see any solid movement in either direction. Biden still leads in Pa., Wisconsin, Florida, and Michigan outside the margin of error. Leads in Arizona by 2%. Trails in NC by .6%. Leads in Ohio by 2.3%. Leads in Minnesota by 7%. Trails in Ga. by 1.1%. Source is RealClearPolitics which averages all polls done within the state.
11 weeks exactly until voting day. Polls at the state level should start increasing at a rapid rate. It will be interesting to see if the conventions over this week and next have any impact on the polls.
