Trump has 91% chance of winning second term, professor’s model predicts

[PythonLeeJackson]

Attachment 872765

Originally Posted by bambino

I think it’s higher than 91%

[The_Waco_Kid]

[HedonistForever]

Originally Posted by Reeds

In 2016 and 2020, the candidates who would have probably beaten Trump did not stay close enough to the party line. Instead of listening to public opinion, the Democrats try to make the public agree with their own opinions. Their failure makes a four year tantrum. Trump's win is a foregone conclusion. I expect at least a 40 state win with at least 60% of the vote.

Optimistic as hell but I like it!

[The_Waco_Kid]

Originally Posted by Kinkster90210

You and Waco are on drugs.

so what? aside from being a rules infraction here how does that imply this professor is wrong?

Originally Posted by Reeds

In 2016 and 2020, the candidates who would have probably beaten Trump did not stay close enough to the party line. Instead of listening to public opinion, the Democrats try to make the public agree with their own opinions. Their failure makes a four year tantrum. Trump's win is a foregone conclusion. I expect at least a 40 state win with at least 60% of the vote.

actually they did listen, just to the wrong segment of the base. they let a small portion of millennial "wokesters" to pull the party far left. you are correct that this is what happened to Clinton (Bernie) and now even Corn Poop Biden is getting sucked into the far left rabbit hole again by Bernie and his bitch squad of radical feministas


you'd think these Dem dummies would learn from their mistake yet they are repeating it step by step this year. and so is the press. they, the press .. have in fact doubled down and they are still losing.



BAHHAAAAA

Originally Posted by matchingmole

Bullshit..he has lost many voters...many have died while the idiot has been an acting President

poor blind mole. you know perfectly well that all of the 8+ million that have died while Evil Lord Trump rules aren't all uneducated bigoted racists who support Trump, the other half were lazy ass libtard sjw Demtards who voted for Clinton.


i call it even



BAHHHAAAAA

[gfejunkie]

This explains a lot...

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/mic...T7Cbs6TuBqX8-0

Like I said... The silent majority are silent for a reason.

[bambino]

Originally Posted by gfejunkie

This explains a lot...

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/mic...T7Cbs6TuBqX8-0

Like I said... The silent majority are silent for a reason.

Yeah, AOC is calling for a boycott of Goya foods because their CEO praised Trump.
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/goya...redo-ortiz.amp

What a cunt.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by gfejunkie

This explains a lot...

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/mic...T7Cbs6TuBqX8-0

Like I said... The silent majority are silent for a reason.

Exactly what I've been saying. Democrats will remember 4 years ago and turn out in waves to vote on November 3rd. I recently said that I think the polls could be over-polling Democrats. A Texas poll released yesterday had Biden up 5 among likely voters.
I expect Texas to be much closer than Trump's 9% victory in 2016. but even I have to question that poll result.

Again I will say that this is 2020, not 2016. Trump is not facing a candidate with the negativity factor of Hillary Clinton. Trump has made many stumbles in his 3 1/2 years in office and from all accounts it looks like many voters who supported him in 2016, among them suburban women and older voters, now support Biden.

Come Tuesday we are 16 weeks from election day. Trump's approval rating is -15.7%. I predict he will not win if on election day that statistic is the same. Silent majority or not.

[gfejunkie]

It pleases me that you find comfort (complacency) in your polls.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by gfejunkie

It pleases me that you find comfort (complacency) in your polls.

I find them more reliable in the long run than the biased opinions of people on a hooker forum.

[gfejunkie]

Here's a little good news for you. Not a poll. Just cold hard facts...

https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-vo...states-report/

There seems to be a bit of an enthusiasm gap here. Well, unless you're a dead cat.

[gfejunkie]

Here's a little "poll" that gets my attention:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...us/3084281001/

"Polls" that are promoted by the biased MSM don't really do much for me. I believe when people vote with their wallets it carries more weight. You can damn well bet none of these folks are going to vote for any Second Amendment hating liberal demoncRAT. Too bad Biden's on the wrong side of this issue. He gets his gun advice from Bozo O'rourke.

[bambino]

Originally Posted by gfejunkie

Here's a little "poll" that gets my attention:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...us/3084281001/

"Polls" that are promoted by the biased MSM don't really do much for me. I believe when people vote with their wallets it carries more weight. You can damn well bet none of these folks are going to vote for any Second Amendment hating liberal demoncRAT. Too bad Biden's on the wrong side of this issue. He gets his gun advice from Bozo O'rourke.

Yeah, it’s those pesky nuances.

[oeb11]

I would rather see Pence the nominee than trump - at this point - but it is what it is.

Polls can be rightfully criticized - and adherents will always find something to corroborate their POV.



Still - let's be cautious about Trumpeting a trump victory in Nov 2020- let's not alarm and awake the content LibDems secure in their polls and prejudices. Let them congratulate each other on victory - and the future marxist takeover of America. Let them sleep in complacency!


Simply hold to Constitutional ideals and the rule fo law - which marxist Dems wish to remove from America for One party Orwellian rule.

Go to the polls and VOTE nov 2020!!
Meanwhile - let XiNN and MSNBC and the LSM nycrimes and WacomPost spread their fear mongering of Trump - and all the Lies - and let them go down again just as in Nov 2016 as did that lying b...H....

[sportfisherman]

A Chump victory ?? Dream on !! You do realize this board and this forum is a very selected population and is extremely right influenced. Are you guys trying to convince yourselves or each other or both ??

This supposed race is OVER !! Chump is done !!

This is not 2016. Biden does not have the big negatives Hillary has.Chump has a record this time that will hurt him overall.

Then you get to;
1.His poor handling of the virus (as deemed by the public)
2.His poor stance and handling of social unrest (as deemed by the public)
3.The poor economy.Chump may have some traction on professing he is best to restore it,but the fact is it will need to be restored.
4.Wanting to press at this time to dismantle what scant healthcare there is for poor people ; in the middle of a Pandemic !!

The majority on here are the Always Chumpers !! Most on here would condone Chump going down to 5th Ave in NYC and shooting someone. Most on here comprise the True TDS !!

[oeb11]

Rant On , rant on sailor - take a note from SR about name-calling and scatology - How he posts without that nonsense - not to mention the abject failure to look at the consequences of a Biden victory.

the elitism and patronizing disregard and disdain for other u display only shows your own insecurity.
reminds me of 9500.
Please contact Judith Martin and purchase some manners.




The only Poll that matters is Nov, 2020.

It might just be the last free election ever in the US.



marxism - it can be voted in - but only thrown off by force of Arms.

America is an armed population.

Civil War is coming.