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03-13-2019, 09:48 PM
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#1
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Mar 4, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 8,975
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Predictit.org: Winner of 2020 Presidential Election will probably be a white male
Here are latest probabilities of who will win what, derived from the betting site predictit.org. People who bet actually risk their own money. So those of us who believe in capitalism and free markets should trust this more than the polls.
Who will be 2020 Democratic presidential nominee?
Joe Biden 25%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Beto O'Rourke 19%
Kamala Harris 15%
Andrew Yang 9%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Cory Booker 6%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Hillary Clinton 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Who the hell is Andrew Yang?
Those alone add up to 116% without adding in the one percenters, so there'd be some kind of arbitrage opportunity here if there were no transaction costs.
Who will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
Donald Trump 35%
Joe Biden 20%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Beto O'Rourke 14%
Kamala Harris 10%
Who will control the Senate after 2020?
Republicans 66%
Democrats 36%
Who will control the Senate after 2020?
Democratics 72%
Republicans 29%
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03-13-2019, 10:06 PM
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#2
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jun 5, 2017
Location: austin
Posts: 22,808
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IMO the democratic nominee percentages look pretty accurate. I think Trump will win but it will be closer than those percentages show. imo
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03-13-2019, 10:40 PM
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#3
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BANNED
Join Date: May 5, 2013
Location: Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Posts: 36,100
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you don't know who Andrew Yang is???
that is just sad. he worked with Dr. Martin Luther King, and was UN Ambassador under President Carter!
oh wait..
that was Andrew Young 
the stats are meaningless this early.. everyone remembers Biden and Sanders going back 30 years.. the other names are fresh by comparison.. in 4 months these numbers will look much different.
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03-13-2019, 11:03 PM
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#4
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Aug 13, 2009
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 7,373
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Im open minded on this. I don't really have an opinion on any of the candidates yet. I think all the candidates listed will have a good clean fight
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03-13-2019, 11:18 PM
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#5
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Clarksville
Posts: 61,090
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I’d say Trump at 35% is also pretty plausible.
That is, if he’s not busting rocks.
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03-13-2019, 11:24 PM
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#6
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Aug 13, 2009
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 7,373
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chung Tran
you don't know who Andrew Yang is???
that is just sad. he worked with Dr. Martin Luther King, and was UN Ambassador under President Carter!
oh wait..
that was Andrew Young
the stats are meaningless this early.. everyone remembers Biden and Sanders going back 30 years.. the other names are fresh by comparison.. in 4 months these numbers will look much different. |
Chung I cant believe you don't know Andrew Yang. His Brother Ying and him have been major players in the Asian community for centuries
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03-14-2019, 03:08 AM
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#7
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Feb 5, 2010
Location: houston
Posts: 7,109
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Yssup Rider
I’d say Trump at 35% is also pretty plausible.
That is, if he’s not busting rocks.
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I'm sure he would enjoy busting your rocks...
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03-14-2019, 08:36 AM
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#8
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Oct 20, 2011
Location: Promo Code MY600
Posts: 4,389
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BREAKING NEWS!!!!!!
Robert "Tear-Down-Those-Walls" Francis O'Rourke is IN!
Did he just blow past Mr Wang....uhhh, Ying.....Yang's....numbers!?!? !
Surely the race for the Dimmtards ahs been flipped onto it's collective head! Call Wolf and get him into the Situation Room!!!
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03-14-2019, 08:55 AM
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#9
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Oct 1, 2013
Location: Dallas TX
Posts: 12,555
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The Irish Mexican is backkkkkk
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03-14-2019, 09:47 AM
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#10
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Clarksville
Posts: 61,090
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bb1961
I'm sure he would enjoy busting your rocks...
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Nice. How about you, tough guy?
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03-14-2019, 10:16 AM
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#11
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Feb 5, 2010
Location: houston
Posts: 7,109
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You're not worth the time of day.
I get joy by rattling your cage.
Why don't you RTM Wakeup!!
Oh wait Wakeup can't help you...tough guy 
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03-14-2019, 10:26 AM
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#12
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Aug 13, 2009
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 7,373
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bb1961
You're not worth the time of day.
Why don't you RTM Wakeup!!
Oh wait Wakeup can't help you...tough guy |
Get back to your Pajama Party bb. As the Lama says, adults are talking. Have fun at your "slumber party"
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03-14-2019, 10:27 AM
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#13
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Aug 13, 2009
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 7,373
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Beto or Biden are my guys. If they teamed up they would win
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03-14-2019, 10:42 AM
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#14
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Oct 20, 2011
Location: Promo Code MY600
Posts: 4,389
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Quote:
Originally Posted by themystic
Beto or Biden are my guys. If they teamed up they would win
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That combo would be a Dream Come True.....for TRUMP-PENCE 2020!!! Woo hoo!!!
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03-14-2019, 11:15 AM
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#15
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Aug 13, 2009
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 7,373
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chateau Becot
That combo would be a Dream Come True.....for TRUMP-PENCE 2020!!! Woo hoo!!!
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I would take that bet. Thinks arent going to well for the Trump Show CB
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