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The Political Forum Discuss anything related to politics in this forum. World politics, US Politics, State and Local.

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Old 10-13-2018, 09:05 PM   #1
dilbert firestorm
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Default what blue wave????

https://www.redstate.com/brandon_mor...ajority-cards/


The momentum generated by Kavanaugh, and the Democrats ugly reliance on identity politics and mob tactics, has put them at such a disadvantage that 2018 may be immune from the law of undulation usually seen in politics. If it does, it will be a historic time and one that will echo all the way into 2020.
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Old 10-14-2018, 08:29 AM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm View Post
https://www.redstate.com/brandon_mor...ajority-cards/


The momentum generated by Kavanaugh, and the Democrats ugly reliance on identity politics and mob tactics, has put them at such a disadvantage that 2018 may be immune from the law of undulation usually seen in politics. If it does, it will be a historic time and one that will echo all the way into 2020.
The races in the states of Texas and Tennessee were long-shots for the Democrats and very few are surprised that the Republicans seem to be in comfortable positions to win the elections there. But in a year when 25 Democrats and only 9 Republicans were up for re-election (and 2 states where incumbents are not running) , and many Democrats in states that were won handily for Trump in 2016 (Indiana, ND, Missouri, Montana) it seemed realistic that Republicans would be able to significantly increase their 2 seat margin in the Senate.

Based on the current outlook, Republicans will be picking up maybe 1 additional seat in the Senate. They are favored to win the Democratic seat in ND but are underdogs to lose the Republican seat in Arizona. Some Senate races are very close for the Democratic incumbents (McCaskill in Missouri, Nelson in Florida) and there certainly could be some other upsets, but, depending on the outcome of the very tight race in Nevada currently Republican, it is possible that the Senate is 50-50 after the election.
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Old 10-14-2018, 08:54 AM   #3
I B Hankering
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McSally is "losing" with a six-point lead????


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Ms. McSally leads 47-41 over Ms. Sinema, according to OH Predictive Insights, which conducted the poll for ABC-15 in Arizona.

(Washington Times)
.
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Old 10-14-2018, 09:06 AM   #4
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McSally is "losing" with a six-point lead????


.

FiveThirtyEight gives Sinema a 5 in 8 probability of winning. Hardly a convincing lead.


As stated by RealClearPolitics:

"Kyrsten Sinema has opened up a narrow lead over Martha McSally. There are still a lot of undecideds, and Arizona is a fairly Republican state, but the president is not terribly popular here. This is likely to go down to the wire."

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...recast/senate/

You are correct in that the most recent poll gives McSally a 6 point advantage. However, the 7 polls previous to that ABC poll favor Sinema by 2 to 7 points, depending on the poll.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...328.html#polls
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Old 10-14-2018, 11:31 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm View Post
https://www.redstate.com/brandon_mor...ajority-cards/


The momentum generated by Kavanaugh, and the Democrats ugly reliance on identity politics and mob tactics, has put them at such a disadvantage that 2018 may be immune from the law of undulation usually seen in politics. If it does, it will be a historic time and one that will echo all the way into 2020.
Maybe a Blue Drip, lol.
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Old 10-14-2018, 11:45 AM   #6
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remember to vote Nov 2018
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Old 10-14-2018, 11:51 AM   #7
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I would advice my nonProgressive brothers not to get too cocky. If the House is lost, then the Dems will control all the committees and the Trump/Russia Collusion nonsense goes into overdrive.

Better to emphasis WHY the blue wave isn't coming (Kavanaugh nonsense, economic prosperity, jobs, stock market, Antifa violence, etc) than to give the Dems a reason to show up in the polls.
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Old 10-15-2018, 10:09 AM   #8
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The "blue wave " made up by the media
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Old 10-15-2018, 10:31 AM   #9
Austin Ellen
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Me,me,me,me!!!!!!!!
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Old 10-15-2018, 10:41 AM   #10
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Originally Posted by Austin Ellen View Post
Me,me,me,me!!!!!!!!
LOL!

Pretty ironic that you’d be using that image.

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Old 10-15-2018, 08:26 PM   #11
dilbert firestorm
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Originally Posted by Austin Ellen View Post
Me,me,me,me!!!!!!!!

don't you mean Rouge?
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