Quote:
Originally Posted by southtown4488
were gonna see in November.
Ive offered a simple bet to any Trump lovers. . . Trump wins and I'm off this forum for a year. . . Hillary wins - ur off the forum for a year. . . . still no takers.
Cowardice.
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It isn't cowardice to refuse a longshot who is 3.2-1 against, while you are only offering a one to one payout.
On Bovada, an internet betting site, you must wager 320 currently to get a 100 victory (plus your initial stake is returned to you)
Therefore, a Trump loss should mean a one year banishment against 3.2 years (38 months, 12 days) banishment for you if Hillary loses.
I think Trump is an even further longshot, so I would demand 4-1.
So I'm going to bet $320,000 on Hillary to win an additional $100,000.
I'm willing to lose that much for a Trump Presidency, but I'll take the 100 grand as a consolation prize.
For you liberal faggots out there, this is known as a hedge. I believe the true odds should make me pay 400,000 to win 100,000, so I consider I have equity. If the odds get longer, I can sell the proposition for it's current value at a discount to the exchange price.
I could even go to another exchange with different odds and bet it the other way, thereby having a chance to get a big payout with little downside risk.
For instance, if someone is offering 400,000 to 100,000, then I could bet 100,000 on Trump. If he wins, I net out 80,000 in the green. (400,000 won minus 320,000 bet on Hillary)
If Hillary wins, I get my cash back (320,000 + 100,000) to cover the 100,000 I bet on Trump.
Apologies to the OP for being off topic.
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