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03-31-2020, 10:38 PM
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#106
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 9, 2010
Location: Nuclear Wasteland BBS, New Orleans, LA, USA
Posts: 31,921
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isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
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Quote
| 3 users liked this post
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03-31-2020, 10:44 PM
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#107
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Mar 4, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 8,991
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm
isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
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Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative. Foretelling death is nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.
Give me a number Dilbert
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| 1 user liked this post
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03-31-2020, 10:49 PM
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#108
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Apr 29, 2013
Location: Milky Way
Posts: 10,942
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tiny
Teeny Tiny, sheesh, you sound like my girlfriend when she's trying to give me a complex about my penis.
Sure, fine to revise, we shouldn't reach peak death rate for a couple of weeks so you're not gaming my game. What's your new number?
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323,001
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| 1 user liked this post
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03-31-2020, 10:54 PM
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#109
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Mar 4, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 8,991
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
323,001
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Gracias senor
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| 1 user liked this post
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03-31-2020, 11:01 PM
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#110
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BANNED
Join Date: Mar 4, 2019
Location: In the valley
Posts: 10,786
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm
isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
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Kinda MORBID.
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Quote
| 1 user liked this post
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03-31-2020, 11:04 PM
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#111
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 9, 2010
Location: Nuclear Wasteland BBS, New Orleans, LA, USA
Posts: 31,921
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tiny
Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative. Foretelling death is nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.
Give me a number Dilbert
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85,000
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Quote
| 1 user liked this post
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03-31-2020, 11:38 PM
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#112
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Apr 29, 2013
Location: Milky Way
Posts: 10,942
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tiny
Gracias senor
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Quote
| 1 user liked this post
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03-31-2020, 11:59 PM
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#113
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AKA President Trump
Join Date: Jan 8, 2010
Location: The MAGA Zone
Posts: 37,283
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
323,001
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so it's 323,001 to < 63k.
if you say so
BAHHHAHAAAAAA
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| 2 users liked this post
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04-01-2020, 02:32 AM
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#114
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Apr 29, 2013
Location: Milky Way
Posts: 10,942
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
We have one year and three quarters left until D day. Or V day? Anyway.
As per the NPR article, 100,000 in mere months. So by the last day of NEXT year, it's going to be closer to a quarter million people! Way passed your measly 63K. You want to stick with that? For 21 months?
If teeny Tiny allows me to revert back to my comical guess of over (The Price is Right rules, remember) 260K. Afterall, he wants to revise his guess. Whatcha say, Tiny? I'll go ahead and say . . .
260,001 + 1 + your 63K = 323,001
Closest without going over. The "Greatest Generation" (you bet your ass I put it quotes), and their older booming offspring, plus those variable deaths due to pre existing immuno defiencies will be dispassionately erased. Cataclysmic? This will be studied for generations.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
so it's 323,001 to < 63k.
if you say so
BAHHHAHAAAAAA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
following your body count. so what is it?
> 323,001 ? less?
you call it goombah
BAHHHAHAAAAAA
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X is going to be > than 323,001
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| 1 user liked this post
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04-01-2020, 12:16 PM
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#115
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: dallas
Posts: 23,345
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9500 and the Fascist DPST's are just basking in joy over the numbers they are projecting- Thinking (relative term for DPST's) it will defeat Trump in favor of the senile idiot Biden.
go ahead and enjoy - while u can - DPST's!
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04-01-2020, 03:13 PM
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#116
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 20, 2010
Location: Houston
Posts: 14,460
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My prediction is by EOY 2021 we'll have 70,000 ventilators sitting around in the box, never opened.
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| 2 users liked this post
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04-01-2020, 03:54 PM
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#117
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Mar 4, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 8,991
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Model and Death Guess Game Update
March 31, 2020
Predicted Deaths from Covid-19 in the United States of America
University of Washington IHME Model: 93,765 (1)
The Waco Kid Italian Extrapolation: greater than 71,037 (2)
South Korean Extrapolation: greater than 1,056 (3)
(1) Assumes four types of social distancing occur throughout the United States. Deaths projected to August 4, 2020
(2) Covid-19 deaths to date in Italy increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to Italy (60.5 million), or 5.4X
(3) Covid-19 deaths to date in South Korea increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to South Korea (51.5 million), or 6.4X
Death Game Estimates, to 12/31/2021:
Friendly Fred: 50,000
Dilbert Firestorm: 80,000
Dr. Anthony Fauci: 150,000 (4)
Dr. Deborah Birx: 172,000 (4)
Tiny: 260,000
eccieuser9500: 323,001
Dr. James Lawler: 480,000
adav8s28: 1,569,600
(4) average of high and low estimates
The daily death rate in Italy is slowing.
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04-01-2020, 04:02 PM
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#118
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Premium Access
Join Date: Mar 16, 2016
Location: Steel City
Posts: 8,068
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41,806
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| 1 user liked this post
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04-02-2020, 03:16 PM
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#119
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 27, 2018
Location: Back in Texas!
Posts: 7,196
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jacuzzme
41,806
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You could end up being right.
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04-02-2020, 03:21 PM
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#120
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: dallas
Posts: 23,345
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Case mortality rate estimates are dropping.
Add the chloroquine therapy effect - that should help .
The revising data and rate estimates indicate a disease with higher infectivity - but comparable case mortality to influenza A.
Fascist DPST's - weeping as the numbers improve. That much less to blame on Trump!
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