Quote:
Originally Posted by TexTushHog
70% of a population of 330M is 231M people infected. If we assume that the mortality rate is 1.5%, a very conservative estimate in the lower end if the possible range, that means 3.465 million will die. If you assume a mortality rate of 0.5%, the very lowest estimate I’ve seen, that’s 1.15 million dead.
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You appear to be assuming that those are ALL new deaths, people who were not already on track to die in that timeframe ANYWAY. Given the data from Italy and other places, that assumption is highly unwarranted.
The US lost about 2.9 million in 2019. The number will likely be higher in 2020. Some of those will be COVID-19, but nowhere near all, probably nowhere near half. Heart disease is still around. Cancer is still around. Lung disease is still around. Chicago drive-by shootings are still around.
Perspective, Tush.