Quote:
Originally Posted by eccielover
Until the Dem candidate is actually selected and we are in the run up for the general election, there is no reason to believe Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, etc. are going to end up either way.
As is stands, Trumps approval is again currently on the upswing contrary to the Dems belief of what impeachment would do to him.
Independents are by and large showing weariness toward the Dems and impeachment and just want it over. Far left Dems are unhappy if a status quo candidate gets chosen. Bernie is potentially getting screwed again which alienates a lot of voters. They may not vote Trump, but just may not vote and turnout is the key.
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I disagree with you but appreciate your opinion.
Most Trump supporters on this forum have already determined that Trump will win the election, most believing he will win by a landslide (approximately 375 electoral votes minimum). I am willing to make certain predictions about the upcoming elections but not about the outcome of the presidential election. All in fun.
I had no idea what the impeachment process would do to Trump's approval rating. Yes, it has helped quite a bit at this point in time. Will it remain where it is or go up or down? He is still negative by quite a bit.
I don't know why you think Bernie might be getting screwed again. Have to wait and see. If Bernie is NOT the nominee, will his supporters go with Trump or Biden, assuming for the moment Biden is the candidate? I could see moderate Democratic voters voting for Trump over Sanders but not far-left Democratic voters voting for Trump over Biden.
Certainly turnout is the key. A key reason why Hillary Clinton lost certain states is not because the African American voters did not support her in the same way they supported Obama, rather the fact is that they did not turn out to vote as they did with Obama. Democratic voters showed up in mass in the 2018 midterms. I see that as a positive for 2020.