Corona Virus + Bear Market = Recession Economy

[TexTushHog]

Originally Posted by Ralph Fults

I can see restaurants/businesses opening back up to only serve patrons who have recovered from covid and employing recoveries as well. Those who are infected and recover early may be in a better position than those that are never infected. .

I think eventually, once the hospitals become overwhelmed and people get used to it, they’ll just give up stop trying to flatten the curve. Tell everybody, you’re going to get it and life or die with I real chance of medical treatment. We might as well find out now and get it done. But that will still take several months after the decision to say “fuck it all” is made.

[Chung Tran]

Originally Posted by georgecam

Big “Hope” but if warmer temp can help, it shouldn’t spread in warmer area right now. So as much as I would like to hope, it is very unlikely.

why do you say it is unlikely? how can you or anyone possibly know?

[Grace Preston]

Originally Posted by Chung Tran

why do you say it is unlikely? how can you or anyone possibly know?

While we could use history to make guesses (Flu of 1918 actually went dormant then came back.... SARS completely died out and never came back)... the fact is, nobody knows for sure how this is going to go.

[georgecam]

If this virus die down with warm weather, many of current warm weather countries wouldn’t see out breaks right now.

[billw1032]

Originally Posted by Grace Preston

While we could use history to make guesses (Flu of 1918 actually went dormant then came back.... SARS completely died out and never came back)... the fact is, nobody knows for sure how this is going to go.

A casual scan of the WHO statistics seems to lead to the conclusion the countries with a warmer environment are faring better, whereas those further north (in the northern hemisphere) are doing less well. That's probably a gross over-simplification since there are many factors that differ in each country and therefore a direct comparison doesn't make much sense. But at least it gives a reason for some hope, especially in light of experience with previous viruses.

Didn't Punxsutawney Phil predict an early spring and summer this year? Let's hope he's right!

[georgecam]

SAR didn’t die out. SAR is still out there. It is evolving somewhere in some living form. It just is not effecting human currently.

[billw1032]

Originally Posted by georgecam

If this virus die down with warm weather, many of current warm weather countries wouldn’t see out breaks right now.

Which specific countries are you referring to? Most of the warm countries have some cases, but they are not seeing the explosive growth that we see in the European countries.

[georgecam]

Bill, doesn’t CDC shows out break in Africa and Australia?

I’ve been only following JH data since there is delay on CDC data.

[billw1032]

WHO data is updated pretty much daily here:
https://www.who.int/emergencies/dise...uation-reports

[georgecam]

I been following this.
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6

Some South America countries are on it too.

[Chung Tran]

I did like hearing the Stat that was revealed today.. that only 1 in 10 who got tested with Corona symptoms tested positive.

I don't love it, but it is a mildly hopeful stat. what I want to see is 1 out of 20, a week from now.

[whoohoo]

For the US I think this site is the most comprehensive:

https://covidtracking.com/

Twitter account:

https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking

[TexTushHog]

Johns Hopkins site is excellent, though a bit graphics heavy.

https://plague.com/