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12-27-2021, 09:49 AM
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#31
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Quatsch!
Join Date: Dec 30, 2009
Location: No Clue
Posts: 37,225
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My political leanings do not change the facts that over the last two years violent crime is up substantially most everywhere in the country. Even in Lubbock there is a stabbing or shooting reported almost every day and that was unheard of a couple of years ago. You "might" have one a week or every several days. You want to say that violent crime is not on the rise but that is easily debunked and already has been. THAT'S the spin sir.
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12-27-2021, 02:01 PM
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#32
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Apr 25, 2009
Location: sa tx usa
Posts: 14,700
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You brought up politics before I did.
And you are correct, politics doesn't change facts.
And *again*, I agree with you that crime is up all over the USA. Be it in red or blue areas.
The only thing that probably sounds counter to the above is that for long term (60 years) the graph shows more or less stable. You can't let one or two data points dictate the whole history. Any two points can give you a line (straight). Only a minimum of three points can't give you a directed line. And of late, that line is a vector on the increase.
Now, show me where I said crime is not going up. I only stated for entire data points to 1960 it is relatively stable with, at max, under 4% of late skewing upward.
So, can you please explain how it is spin when I agree with you? That is, unless, you are saying you are spinning something, which you haven't admitted yet.
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12-27-2021, 03:23 PM
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#33
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Quatsch!
Join Date: Dec 30, 2009
Location: No Clue
Posts: 37,225
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You brought up politics in post 8 sir.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Precious_b
I guess the Right needs to make a mountain out of this. And they say the Left has a lock on the media. Sheesh.
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12-27-2021, 03:26 PM
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#34
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Quatsch!
Join Date: Dec 30, 2009
Location: No Clue
Posts: 37,225
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Precious_b
The only thing that probably sounds counter to the above is that for long term (60 years) the graph shows more or less stable. You can't let one or two data points dictate the whole history. Any two points can give you a line (straight). Only a minimum of three points can't give you a directed line. And of late, that line is a vector on the increase.
Now, show me where I said crime is not going up. I only stated for entire data points to 1960 it is relatively stable with, at max, under 4% of late skewing upward.
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Anything that is tracked for a long enough period of time usually becomes rather flat in the long run. That is why you have to narrow the focus and look at what is happening now as opposed to probably the last 5 years. It may be just a coincidence that the majority of the cities that have hit record murder rates this year are all run by a democratic mayor.
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12-27-2021, 03:32 PM
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#35
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jun 5, 2017
Location: austin
Posts: 22,876
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CryptKicker
Anything that is tracked for a long enough period of time usually becomes rather flat in the long run. That is why you have to narrow the focus and look at what is happening now as opposed to probably the last 5 years. It may be just a coincidence that the majority of the cities that have hit record murder rates this year are all run by a democratic mayor.
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And/or liberal DA's.
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12-30-2021, 02:08 PM
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#36
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Valued Poster
Join Date: May 31, 2011
Location: Memorial area Houston
Posts: 2,067
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I finally took the big step and moved back to Houston. When they say "keep Austin weird" what they mean is "keep Austin abnormal."
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12-31-2021, 11:20 AM
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#37
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Apr 25, 2009
Location: sa tx usa
Posts: 14,700
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CryptKicker
You brought up politics in post 8 sir.
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Ah! You got me! I implied that because the source of the link.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CryptKicker
Anything that is tracked for a long enough period of time usually becomes rather flat in the long run. That is why you have to narrow the focus and look at what is happening now as opposed to probably the last 5 years. It may be just a coincidence that the majority of the cities that have hit record murder rates this year are all run by a democratic mayor.
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You are correct: it may be a coincidence. That is why you rule out the flyers in the data set until you collect enough to see a change. Alot of people do the opposite. They focus on just the narrow edge of a number that supports their position not taking into account that something so precarious can be knocked out easily.
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Originally Posted by winn dixie
And/or liberal DA's.
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Yupper. Depends who the power is in those top cities. I saw somewhere (maybe one of y'all posted it) that around 2/3 of the 15 cities have democrat mayors. But if like San Antonio, true power is with City Manager.
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12-31-2021, 11:24 AM
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#38
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Quatsch!
Join Date: Dec 30, 2009
Location: No Clue
Posts: 37,225
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15 of the 16 "major" cities in the US that have set a new record for homicides are run by Democrats in the mayor's office and the city council. You can't spin your way out of that fact.
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01-03-2022, 08:03 AM
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#39
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 26, 2013
Location: Railroad Tracks, other side thereof
Posts: 7,276
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The new slant on the slogan might be: "Keep Austin like Chicago"
Quote:
Originally Posted by pussycat
I finally took the big step and moved back to Houston. When they say "keep Austin weird" what they mean is "keep Austin abnormal."
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01-03-2022, 10:48 AM
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#40
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Apr 25, 2009
Location: sa tx usa
Posts: 14,700
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Why_Yes_I_Do
The new slant on the slogan might be: "Keep Austin like Chicago"
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www.heyjackass.com
The 30 day stupidity trend "almost" shows promise.
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01-04-2022, 01:41 PM
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#41
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 26, 2013
Location: Railroad Tracks, other side thereof
Posts: 7,276
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Austin made yet another top 12 list
White House Boasts of Joe Biden’s First-Year Gun Controls as 12 Cities Broke Homicide Records
White House press secretary Jen Psaki praised President Joe Biden’s first-year gun control efforts even though 12 cities, all Democrat-run, broke annual homicide records during Biden’s first year as well.
Psaki tweeted: “In 2021, President Biden took more executive action to stop gun violence than any President has ever taken in their first year.”
She also mentioned Biden’s latest gun control, an executive action by the DOJ that requires Federal Firearms License holders (FFLs) to “certify that they have available secure gun storage or safety devices.”
Psaki did not mention that 12 Democrat-run cities broke their annual homicide records in 2021.
ABC News listed the 12 cities as:
Albuquerque, New Mexico
Austin, Texas
Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Columbus, Ohio
Indianapolis, Indiana
Louisville, Kentucky
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Portland, Oregon
Rochester, New York
St. Paul, Minnesota
Toledo, Ohio
Tucson, Arizona
Democrat-run Chicago is not on the list, although it did see more homicides than it has witnessed in 25 years. The Hill reports Chicago Police numbers showing 797 homicides in Chicago in 2021. The Chicago Sun-Times reported 836 homicides in Chicago for 2021, based on Cook County medical examiner’s numbers.
Psaki praised Biden’s first-year gun controls.
Let's Go Brandon!
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05-02-2022, 01:56 PM
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#42
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 26, 2013
Location: Railroad Tracks, other side thereof
Posts: 7,276
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Caution: Bumpy road ahead? Or opportunity knocking soon??
I don't see it hitting us just yet, but the mid-terms are coming and the Demonicrats have a heap'n-help'n of horse-pooh on the platter to offer so far.
I was just talking with one of my suppliers, their builders are still building, but are seeing a little, I mean very little, tapering on the consumer side. Maybe apprehension is a better word choice.
What they did point out was that recently the big box stores seem to have excess inventory clogging their isles - meaning the supply is increasing, but demand may be creeping. Dunno
Anyway, we do not seem to be there, but mortgage rates are trending up, though the pricing is still competitive, i.e. going over asking -- so far. As the article points out, this could be a residual effect of the "foreclosure moratorium".
BTW: The included screen shot must be a few days older. The DOW is not up at this point in time.
Quote:
BREAKING: Foreclosures Up 181% in One Year – Home Sales Down 12.6% vs. Last Year
Another Joe Biden record!
Foreclosures are up 181% in one year. Home sales are down 12.6% year over year.
Inflation Tracker
@TrackInflation
Home Sales in March were 763,000 vs. 835,000 in February and down 12.6% vs. the last March number of 873,000. Last month 33,333 properties across the U.S. faced foreclosure, a 181% jump from March 2021. The first quarter saw 78,271 properties with a foreclosure filing.
8:02 PM · Apr 29, 2022
FOX46 reported:Some eight months after a nationwide moratorium on foreclosures expired, foreclosure filings soared to the highest level since the pandemic began.
Last month, 33,333 properties across the U.S. faced foreclosure, a 181 percent jump from March 2021 and 29 percent pop from February, according to a report by foreclosure tracker Attom. The first quarter saw 78,271 properties with a foreclosure filing, a 39 percent from the previous quarter and 132 percent from last year.
Those figures represent the highest number of foreclosures since March 2020 when nearly 47,000 U.S. homes held foreclosure filings, said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of market intelligence for ATTOM.
March marked the 11th consecutive month in which foreclosure activity posted a year-over-year increase.
Not only did foreclosure activity hit a peak, the time it took properties to foreclose ticked down 3 percent from the previous quarter. Properties foreclosed on in the first quarter were in the process for an average of 917 days, down from 941 in the previous period and 930 in the first quarter of 2021
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05-02-2022, 08:30 PM
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#43
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Premium Access
Join Date: Aug 30, 2012
Location: In Your Mind
Posts: 7,842
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Great seafood, fresh sourdough and a plethora of reliable BBFS Asian studios? We wish... Austin has a long way to go and the Pacific is so far away... a strong earthquake away at least.
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05-03-2022, 06:57 AM
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#44
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 26, 2013
Location: Railroad Tracks, other side thereof
Posts: 7,276
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Pfffftz!
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBamboo
Great seafood, fresh sourdough and a plethora of reliable BBFS Asian studios? We wish... Austin has a long way to go and the Pacific is so far away... a strong earthquake away at least.
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Danged glass half empty types... Imagine how much closer the ocean will be after the big one. Will be able to get fresh-today Pacific seafood via Greyhound bus
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05-08-2022, 02:35 PM
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#45
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Clarksville
Posts: 61,114
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If you say so.
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