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The Sandbox - Pittsburgh The Sandbox is a collection of off-topic discussions. Humorous threads, Sports talk, and a wide variety of other topics can be found here. If it's NOT an adult-themed topic, then it belongs here

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Old 09-18-2024, 01:34 PM   #31
eyecu2
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[QUOTE=bambino;1063591491]
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyecu2 View Post

WTF are you talking about? Leading Report was referring to Nate Silvers EC model. DUH. SMH

How does MSN grab you Eye?

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...ng/ar-AA1qFzFg

How many times are you going to be absolutely wrong?

FiveThirtyEight, the handicapping outlet Silver founded in 2008 and left earlier this year, seems to see a more heated contest unfolding, giving Harris a 56% chance of winning and Trump a 43% chance. Likewise, DecisionDeskHQ’s current model gives Harris a 54% chance of winning the presidency.

Further--
Social media users have criticized his employment at Polymarket, a political betting site that has received significant investment from conservative billionaire Peter Thiel, who has personal and professional connections to the Republican vice presidential nominee, J.D. Vance. He’s also received praise from Trump himself, which probably hasn’t helped the perception that his forecast is biased toward Republicans.

Apparently you didn't read the content which is contested by all cept the political betting communities that Silver now serves.

Pretty sure it's a case of not biting the hand that feeds him. It's silvers conclusions that are not based on any modelling vs. Trying to create a self fulfilling conclusion.

If you poll it they will vote it mentality, won't win any election.

Doesn't that make you pause and say, I wonder why he would be a total outsider of the 538 community since LEAVING 538??
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Old 09-18-2024, 01:40 PM   #32
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[QUOTE=bambino;1063591491]
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyecu2 View Post

WTF are you talking about? Leading Report was referring to Nate Silvers EC model. DUH. SMH

How does MSN grab you Eye?

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...ng/ar-AA1qFzFg

How many times are you going to be absolutely wrong?

FiveThirtyEight, the handicapping outlet Silver founded in 2008 and left earlier this year, seems to see a more heated contest unfolding, giving Harris a 56% chance of winning and Trump a 43% chance. Likewise, DecisionDeskHQ’s current model gives Harris a 54% chance of winning the presidency.

Further--
Social media users have criticized his employment at Polymarket, a political betting site that has received significant investment from conservative billionaire Peter Thiel, who has personal and professional connections to the Republican vice presidential nominee, J.D. Vance. He’s also received praise from Trump himself, which probably hasn’t helped the perception that his forecast is biased toward Republicans.

Apparently you didn't read the content which is contested by all cept the political betting communities that Silver now serves.

Pretty sure it's a case of not biting the hand that feeds him. It's silvers conclusions that are not based on any modelling vs. Trying to create a self fulfilling conclusion.

If you poll it they will vote it mentality, won't win any election.

Doesn't that make you pause and say, I wonder why he would change his methods of polling be a total conservative outsider of the middle road 538 community, only since LEAVING 538??

Almost as if he sold the Silver name of reliable and realistic polling results to Garner larger betting spreads for investor political speculation.

Kinda like buying the betting sheet on the ponies, but working for the bookie.
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Old 09-18-2024, 04:38 PM   #33
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Trump today in NYC

https://t.me/candlesinthenight/75845

Does Cumala get this love?


NO!
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Old 09-18-2024, 04:59 PM   #34
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[QUOTE=eyecu2;1063592235]
Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino View Post


FiveThirtyEight, the handicapping outlet Silver founded in 2008 and left earlier this year, seems to see a more heated contest unfolding, giving Harris a 56% chance of winning and Trump a 43% chance. Likewise, DecisionDeskHQ’s current model gives Harris a 54% chance of winning the presidency.

Further--
Social media users have criticized his employment at Polymarket, a political betting site that has received significant investment from conservative billionaire Peter Thiel, who has personal and professional connections to the Republican vice presidential nominee, J.D. Vance. He’s also received praise from Trump himself, which probably hasn’t helped the perception that his forecast is biased toward Republicans.

Apparently you didn't read the content which is contested by all cept the political betting communities that Silver now serves.

Pretty sure it's a case of not biting the hand that feeds him. It's silvers conclusions that are not based on any modelling vs. Trying to create a self fulfilling conclusion.

If you poll it they will vote it mentality, won't win any election.

Doesn't that make you pause and say, I wonder why he would change his methods of polling be a total conservative outsider of the middle road 538 community, only since LEAVING 538??

Almost as if he sold the Silver name of reliable and realistic polling results to Garner larger betting spreads for investor political speculation.

Kinda like buying the betting sheet on the ponies, but working for the bookie.
Yeah Eye, ABC News(Disney) replaced him. The same cockroaches that rigged the debate. They can’t have a pollster telling the truth. He has a new company now.

BAHAHAHA
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Old 09-18-2024, 05:57 PM   #35
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Does it ever occur to trumpers that not everything is RIGGED against him?

The majority of Americans hate the fucking traitor. And he's a senile moron. He's going to lose again. And if he ever runs again, he'll lose then too. He's a losing loser who loses. Shit isn't rigged; he's just not very popular or smart.
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:03 PM   #36
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommy156 View Post
Does it ever occur to trumpers that not everything is RIGGED against him?

The majority of Americans hate the fucking traitor. And he's a senile moron. He's going to lose again. And if he ever runs again, he'll lose then too. He's a losing loser who loses. Shit isn't rigged; he's just not very popular or smart.
What you don’t realize, it’s rigged against you too. I guess you’re oblivious to inflation, crime, and war. But you obviously support those things.
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:06 PM   #37
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Originally Posted by bambino View Post
What you don’t realize, it’s rigged against you too. I guess you’re oblivious to inflation, crime, and war. But you obviously support those things.
Lol. Nothing is rigged. He fucking lost in 2020, and he'll be losing again this year. It's not "rigged" just because the majority of Americans disagree with you. trump will lose because he's a horrible piece of shit traitor, not because of the "deep state" or whatever the fuck else he blames his problems on.
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:08 PM   #38
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Originally Posted by tommy156 View Post
Lol. Nothing is rigged. He fucking lost in 2020, and he'll be losing again this year. It's not "rigged" just because the majority of Americans disagree with you.
He’ll win a fair election.
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:09 PM   #39
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No they don’t. 60% think it was rigged.
60% of Republicans, maybe. NOT 60% of Americans.
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:13 PM   #40
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Originally Posted by tommy156 View Post
60% of Republicans, maybe. NOT 60% of Americans.
Actually 70% of Republicans
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:13 PM   #41
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino View Post
No they don't. 60% think it was rigged.
More like half that number

https://www.wral.com/story/fact-chec...gged/21316494/
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:15 PM   #42
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Originally Posted by bambino View Post
Actually 70% of Republicans
Actually, 57% of Republicans

https://www.wral.com/story/fact-chec...gged/21316494/
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:16 PM   #43
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Originally Posted by bambino View Post
He’ll win a fair election.
Lol. He's going to lose his 2nd straight fair election. Then his problems will just be getting started.
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Old 09-18-2024, 06:30 PM   #44
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Originally Posted by tommy156 View Post
Lol. He's going to lose his 2nd straight fair election. Then his problems will just be getting started.
U wanna bet Tommy?
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Old 09-19-2024, 08:33 AM   #45
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U wanna bet Tommy?
Bet what? No, I'm not meeting you face to face.
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