IHME COVID-19 Model

[Jacuzzme]

The entire state of Texas has only 259 deaths? Is that accurate? For that they’ve closed the entire state? Fucking incredible, that figure is probably lower than car accidents or falling off a fucking ladder. Have they banned driving and cleaning out your gutters? Maybe I should shut up and not give them any ideas.

SMFH

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by Jacuzzme

The entire state of Texas has only 259 deaths? Is that accurate? For that they’ve closed the entire state? Fucking incredible, that figure is probably lower than car accidents or falling off a fucking ladder. Have they banned driving and cleaning out your gutters? Maybe I should shut up and not give them any ideas.

SMFH

no.. 545 deaths, not 259. I see that you're looking at the earlier numbers, that number is updated daily.

[Jacuzzme]

Oops, didn’t scroll down. That’s still a pretty low number in such a populous state, I’d stand by my ‘this was totally stupid’ sentiment.

Do people realize we lost 80k people, with nearly a million hospitalizations, to the flu a few years ago? Can I get some retroactive panic over here, please.

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by Jacuzzme

Oops, didn’t scroll down. That’s still a pretty low number in such a populous state, I’d stand by my ‘this was totally stupid’ sentiment.

Do people realize we lost 80k people, with nearly a million hospitalizations, to the flu a few years ago? Can I get some retroactive panic over here, please.

no biggie.. i agree with you.


this is the whole purpose of this texas coronavirus thread.

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm

no biggie.. i agree with you.


this is the whole purpose of this texas coronavirus thread.

Yes it is.

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by Jacuzzme

Oops, didn’t scroll down. That’s still a pretty low number in such a populous state, I’d stand by my ‘this was totally stupid’ sentiment.

Do people realize we lost 80k people, with nearly a million hospitalizations, to the flu a few years ago? Can I get some retroactive panic over here, please.

When you consider that antibody testing of random populations tends to show far greater virus spread than the reported numbers, the case mortality rate is likely not much different than the flu, anyway.

The liberals, wanting to wreck Trump's reelection, wrecked the economy to the tune of trillions.

[Chung Tran]

Originally Posted by Jacuzzme

The entire state of Texas has only 259 deaths? Is that accurate? For that they’ve closed the entire state? Fucking incredible, that figure is probably lower than car accidents or falling off a fucking ladder. Have they banned driving and cleaning out your gutters? Maybe I should shut up and not give them any ideas.

SMFH

I have a CO-VID19 appropriate idea I am sending to Abbott's office. I suggest we "retro-fit" the HOV lanes on Texas highways, changing them from HOV lanes to SOV lanes.. Single occupancy.

that does two things.. it encourages us to drive more cars, in turn driving up fuel costs that support our floundering oil market, AND it helps aid social distancing by eliminating one or more people sitting in close proximity in the vehicle.

[oeb11]

CT - as a temporary intervention - it is definitely food for thought.

And will infuriate AOC and the Squad leadership of the DPST party.

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by Chung Tran

I have a CO-VID19 appropriate idea I am sending to Abbott's office. I suggest we "retro-fit" the HOV lanes on Texas highways, changing them from HOV lanes to SOV lanes.. Single occupancy.

that does two things.. it encourages us to drive more cars, in turn driving up fuel costs that support our floundering oil market, AND it helps aid social distancing by eliminating one or more people sitting in close proximity in the vehicle.

The oil market will take care of itself eventually. Leave it in the ground for now - it will be needed later.

I have an idea for raising money to help COVID-19 victims, though.

Every time Lucas McCain sucks a dick, he can donate $5 to the COVID-19 victim fund. Yssup Rider tells me that will raise thousands of dollars - and he will suck that cock of McCain's a few times to help out!

[HoeHummer]

You’re in touch with Yssup Rider? How’s he doing?

LOLLING!

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by HoeHummer

You’re in touch with Yssup Rider? How’s he doing?

LOLLING!

He gets around with a walker and has significant mental illness.

Should I say hi to him for you?

[friendly fred]

Let's track the accuracy from today for the IHME COVID-19 Model for Texas. They change the model constantly and likely won't admit their mistakes 10-30 days from now, so let's put it down for the record for Texas.

Based upon their model the US is destroying trillions in economic activity and creating trillions in new debt for our grandkids to be slaves to pay.

They say on May 6th we will have 161 deaths per day.

Start is April 4th.(I should have put 22 deaths here because on April 5th I got the April 4th results)

Date projected actual
April 4th ? actual 22
April 5th 20 (deaths per day) actual 13 deaths
April 6th 22 actual 14 they blew it
April 7th 26 actual 23 decent guess on their part
April 8th 29 actual 22 they were high again (numerically high)
April 9th 33 actual 27 fair guess by them
April 10th 37 actual 28 deaths (they sucked with that guess)
April 11th 41 actual 17 deaths - they were way off!!
April 12th 46 actual 16 deaths - they were way off again
April 13th 51 actual 31 deaths - another guess bites the dust
April 14th 56 actual 46 deaths - not a bad guess (along with 868 new infections)
April 15th 62 actual 29 deaths - public flogging for this guess!(963 new cases)
April 16th 67 actual 35 deaths - they are wrong again (916 new cases)
April 17th 73 actual 27 deaths - they really suck on that guess (889 new cases)
April 18th 79 actual 24 deaths - anyone else think they should be flogged? (663 new cases)
April 19th 86 actual 18 deaths (spotty Sunday reporting or pandemic in decline?) (535 new cases)
April 20th 92 actual 22 deaths (they suck and should be flogged again!) (738 new cases)
April 21st 98 actual 26 deaths (updated) (do those guys suck at their guesses or what?) (873 new cases - also updated)
April 22nd 104 actual 18 deaths (horrible tragedy - just like they all predicted?) (875 new cases)
April 23rd 110 actual 32 deaths (stupid fucks) (862 new cases)
April 24th 116 actual 30 deaths (flog those idiots) (967 new cases out of 20,269 tests!)
April 25th 122 actual 25 deaths (pathetically wrong) (858 new cases)
April 26th 128 actual 15 deaths (way off again - idiots) (666 new cases)
April 27th 133
April 28th 138
April 29th 143
April 30th 147
May 1st 150
May 2nd 154
May 3rd 156
May 4th 158
May 5th 160

[dilbert firestorm]

.
+----------------------------------------------------+
|              2020 TEXAS CORONA VIRUS DATA          |
+==========+===========+========+===========+========+
|          |           |        |   Total   |  Total |
|          | Projected | Deaths | Projected | Deaths |
+==========+===========+========+===========+========+
| 04/04/20 |        22 |     22 |        22 |     22 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/05/20 |        20 |     13 |        42 |     35 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/06/20 |        22 |     14 |        64 |     49 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/07/20 |        26 |     23 |        90 |     72 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/08/20 |        29 |     22 |       119 |     94 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/09/20 |        33 |     27 |       152 |    121 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/10/20 |        37 |     28 |       189 |    149 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/11/20 |        41 |     17 |       230 |    166 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/12/20 |        46 |     16 |       276 |    182 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/13/20 |        51 |     31 |       327 |    213 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/14/20 |        56 |     46 |       383 |    259 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/15/20 |        62 |     29 |       445 |    288 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/16/20 |        67 |     35 |       512 |    323 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/17/20 |        73 |     27 |       585 |    350 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/18/20 |        79 |     24 |       664 |    374 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/19/20 |        86 |     18 |       750 |    392 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/20/20 |        92 |     22 |       842 |    414 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/21/20 |        98 |     26 |       940 |    440 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/22/20 |       104 |     18 |     1,044 |    458 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/23/20 |       110 |     32 |     1,154 |    490 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/24/20 |       116 |     30 |     1,270 |    520 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/25/20 |       122 |     25 |     1,392 |    545 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/26/20 |       128 |     15 |     1,520 |    560 |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/27/20 |       133 |        |     1,653 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/28/20 |       138 |        |     1,791 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/29/20 |       143 |        |     1,934 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 04/30/20 |       147 |        |     2,081 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 05/01/20 |       150 |        |     2,231 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 05/02/20 |       154 |        |     2,385 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 05/03/20 |       156 |        |     2,541 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 05/04/20 |       158 |        |     2,699 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
| 05/05/20 |       160 |        |     2,859 |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
|          |     2,859 |    560 |           |        |
+----------+-----------+--------+-----------+--------+
 .

24.3 deaths per day average

[friendly fred]

Let's track the accuracy from today for the IHME COVID-19 Model for Texas. They change the model constantly and likely won't admit their mistakes 10-30 days from now, so let's put it down for the record for Texas.

Based upon their model the US is destroying trillions in economic activity and creating trillions in new debt for our grandkids to be slaves to pay.

They say on May 6th we will have 161 deaths per day.

Start is April 4th.(I should have put 22 deaths here because on April 5th I got the April 4th results)

Date projected actual
April 4th ? actual 22
April 5th 20 (deaths per day) actual 13 deaths
April 6th 22 actual 14 they blew it
April 7th 26 actual 23 decent guess on their part
April 8th 29 actual 22 they were high again (numerically high)
April 9th 33 actual 27 fair guess by them
April 10th 37 actual 28 deaths (they sucked with that guess)
April 11th 41 actual 17 deaths - they were way off!!
April 12th 46 actual 16 deaths - they were way off again
April 13th 51 actual 31 deaths - another guess bites the dust
April 14th 56 actual 46 deaths - not a bad guess (along with 868 new infections)
April 15th 62 actual 29 deaths - public flogging for this guess!(963 new cases)
April 16th 67 actual 35 deaths - they are wrong again (916 new cases)
April 17th 73 actual 27 deaths - they really suck on that guess (889 new cases)
April 18th 79 actual 24 deaths - anyone else think they should be flogged? (663 new cases)
April 19th 86 actual 18 deaths (spotty Sunday reporting or pandemic in decline?) (535 new cases)
April 20th 92 actual 22 deaths (they suck and should be flogged again!) (738 new cases)
April 21st 98 actual 26 deaths (updated) (do those guys suck at their guesses or what?) (873 new cases - also updated)
April 22nd 104 actual 18 deaths (horrible tragedy - just like they all predicted?) (875 new cases)
April 23rd 110 actual 32 deaths (stupid fucks) (862 new cases)
April 24th 116 actual 30 deaths (flog those idiots) (967 new cases out of 20,269 tests!)
April 25th 122 actual 25 deaths (pathetically wrong) (858 new cases)
April 26th 128 actual 15 deaths (way off again - idiots) (666 new cases)
April 27th 133 actual 27 deaths (they blew it again) (874 new cases)
April 28th 138
April 29th 143
April 30th 147
May 1st 150
May 2nd 154
May 3rd 156
May 4th 158
May 5th 160

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by friendly fred

Let's track the accuracy from today for the IHME COVID-19 Model for Texas. They change the model constantly and likely won't admit their mistakes 10-30 days from now, so let's put it down for the record for Texas.

Based upon their model the US is destroying trillions in economic activity and creating trillions in new debt for our grandkids to be slaves to pay.

They say on May 6th we will have 161 deaths per day.

Start is April 4th.(I should have put 22 deaths here because on April 5th I got the April 4th results)

Date projected actual
April 4th ? actual 22
April 5th 20 (deaths per day) actual 13 deaths
April 6th 22 actual 14 they blew it
April 7th 26 actual 23 decent guess on their part
April 8th 29 actual 22 they were high again (numerically high)
April 9th 33 actual 27 fair guess by them
April 10th 37 actual 28 deaths (they sucked with that guess)
April 11th 41 actual 17 deaths - they were way off!!
April 12th 46 actual 16 deaths - they were way off again
April 13th 51 actual 31 deaths - another guess bites the dust
April 14th 56 actual 46 deaths - not a bad guess (along with 868 new infections)
April 15th 62 actual 29 deaths - public flogging for this guess!(963 new cases)
April 16th 67 actual 35 deaths - they are wrong again (916 new cases)
April 17th 73 actual 27 deaths - they really suck on that guess (889 new cases)
April 18th 79 actual 24 deaths - anyone else think they should be flogged? (663 new cases)
April 19th 86 actual 18 deaths (spotty Sunday reporting or pandemic in decline?) (535 new cases)
April 20th 92 actual 22 deaths (they suck and should be flogged again!) (738 new cases)
April 21st 98 actual 26 deaths (updated) (do those guys suck at their guesses or what?) (873 new cases - also updated)
April 22nd 104 actual 18 deaths (horrible tragedy - just like they all predicted?) (875 new cases)
April 23rd 110 actual 32 deaths (stupid fucks) (862 new cases)
April 24th 116 actual 30 deaths (flog those idiots) (967 new cases out of 20,269 tests!)
April 25th 122 actual 25 deaths (pathetically wrong) (858 new cases)
April 26th 128 actual 15 deaths (way off again - idiots) (666 new cases)
April 27th 133 actual 27 deaths (they blew it again) (874 new cases)
April 28th 138
April 29th 143
April 30th 147
May 1st 150
May 2nd 154
May 3rd 156
May 4th 158
May 5th 160

27 for 27... they got it right on the mark! lol!