The Election Games! What will the margin of victory be?

[winn dixie]

One caveat......
Penn is the key esp for trumpf
Arizona really doesn't matter. But I have trumpf winning Arizona. But don't under estimate the efforts by la raza!
I feel more comfortable predicting Penn than Arizona.

[winn dixie]

I stand behind my predictions.

But if trumpf pulls out a miracle his
Count will be either 270 on the nose or 281.

One grueling reality for trumpf.....
If trumpf gets to only 270. That means waiting on Alaskas 3 points to put him at 270. He'll win Alaska. But election won't be called for a while.

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by winn dixie

But don't under estimate the efforts by la raza!

All he has to do is say something good about Puerto Rico and say the comedian was full of shit but it's just not in his makeup. The best he can come up with is "I didn't have anything to do with that."

I tend to agree with Republicans who say this shouldn't be a big deal. But the media has made it a big deal and Trump is too stupid or too narcissistic to do serious damage control.

This could indeed be the difference between a Trump victory and defeat in Arizona. And I think in Pennsylvania and Nevada too.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by Tiny

All he has to do is say something good about Puerto Rico and say the comedian was full of shit but it's just not in his makeup. The best he can come up with is "I didn't have anything to do with that."

I tend to agree with Republicans who say this shouldn't be a big deal. But the media has made it a big deal and Trump is too stupid or too narcissistic to do serious damage control.

This could indeed be the difference between a Trump victory and defeat in Arizona. And I think in Pennsylvania and Nevada too.

So true. All Trump has to do is say he disagrees with what the comedian said and this issue is closed. He just can't do it.

But we are off on a tangent. Anyone else have an opinion on the election now only 6 days away?

[Jacky S]

I do not have a clue who will win.

All I can say is I wish for a Trump victory.

[1blackman1]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

So true. All Trump has to do is say he disagrees with what the comedian said and this issue is closed. He just can't do it.

But we are off on a tangent. Anyone else have an opinion on the election now only 6 days away?

Again last night he didn’t do so. He just said his usual line. “I’m the best for PR. I love PRs like no one ever has. I saved PR”. And my favorite “MSG rally was like nothing ever before and it was a love fest like none ever before”.

[Tiny]

For the benefit of anyone who hasn't made a prediction yet but may decide to, here's an email just received from my commodities broker:

Last night, Kamala Harris engineered a surprisingly ferocious comeback on the ForecastTrader platform. Her probability of winning the election rose from 38% the night before to 44% at 8 pm last night, and this was done on a trading volume of about $40 million.

If it is some Democrat billionaire trying to tilt the market in Harris' favor, he is putting a lot of money at stake against a sea of traders on the platform, who for over a week have been at a consensus of 62%, +/-2% for Trump and 38%, +/-2% for Harris. 6% is a huge change in probabilities in just 24 hours in such a closely watched race.

Stossel's Election Betting Odds site now shows Trump at 57.8% and Harris at 41.8%, a 3.1% improvement in Harris' position over the last day.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

FYI, "Trump at 57.8%" means if you bet $57.80, you get $100 if Trump wins.

[Salty Again]

... From what you lads have been tellin' me for a good year
or so - you fellows must obviously believe that Kamala is
gonna Win by a landslide! ...

Didn't you claim that Trump was the candidate that YOU WANTED
Biden/Kamala to face? ... Because Trump has "No Chance"??

... Forgive me for NOT understandin' WHY some o' you lads
think the race will be close. ... Isn't Trump as the Republican
nominee what you hoped for?? ...

#### Salty

[1blackman1]

Yes. Trump is the candidate best for democrats. Some legitimate Republican with good sense would be up 5 points.

[Salty Again]

Originally Posted by 1blackman1

Yes. Trump is the candidate best for democrats. Some legitimate Republican with good sense would be up 5 points.

... Hmmmm... I don't understand... If what you claim is true
- then Kamala must be a very shitty candidate.
How can things be tied and what-not if Trump is a bad
candidate?? ... Why do some o' the polls have Trump
in the lead?? ... Shouldn't Kamala have a BIG lead-margin??

#### Salty

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by Salty Again

... From what you lads have been tellin' me for a good year
or so - you fellows must obviously believe that Kamala is
gonna Win by a landslide! ...

Didn't you claim that Trump was the candidate that YOU WANTED
Biden/Kamala to face? ... Because Trump has "No Chance"??

... Forgive me for NOT understandin' WHY some o' you lads
think the race will be close. ... Isn't Trump as the Republican
nominee what you hoped for?? ...

#### Salty

For what it's worth, I'm glad you didn't accept my bet. I think there's a much higher probability I'd have to be your "bitch for a month" now than what I thought back then. You may recall that if Trump won, I was going to back you up unconditionally in the forum for 30 days, and vice versa.

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by 1blackman1

Nope won’t be long before they file 100 lawsuits and yell fraud at the top of their lungs. Whining will continue until Jan 20 or whenever Inauguration Day is.

Please get your predictions in before January 20. Any entry after the 19th won't count.

[Texas Contrarian]

OK, I'll play! (Even though my history of political forecasts has never been very good, as I said at this time in 2016 that I thought the probability of a Hillary win was at least 90%.)

My WAG is that Donald squeaks out a narrow victory in PA and ends up with about 287 Electoral College votes while losing the popular vote by 2%, leading to a level of political chaos unprecedented in modern history. (The drumbeat for deep-sixing the Electoral College as presently constituted would become virtually deafening.)

Democrats recapture the House, starting out 2025 with a narrow 4-seat majority, while losing the Senate to Republicans, who hold 52 Senate seats next year.

[TheDaliLama]

If the election has no fraud…However there are a lot of libtard attorney generals who will do everything they can to not certify Trump. After all he’s Hitler.


Harris 226 Trump 312.


Down goes Harris
Down goes Harris
Down goes Harris