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The Political Forum Discuss anything related to politics in this forum. World politics, US Politics, State and Local.

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Old 02-03-2020, 09:10 AM   #61
eccielover
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX View Post
There is no reason as of today to believe that Michigan will not go Democratic in 2020. Pennsylvania is leaning Democratic. Wisconsin, Florida and Arizona are all within the margin of error.

Trump supporters on this forum who are predicting a Trump landslide in 2020 easily forget how close the 2016 election was. Michigan, PA, Wisconsin, and Florida all between .2% and 1.2% from going blue instead of red.

Still 9 months to go and much can change between today and election day. But I stand by my prediction that Democrats hold the House but lose some seats and Republicans hold the Senate but lose some seats.
Until the Dem candidate is actually selected and we are in the run up for the general election, there is no reason to believe Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, etc. are going to end up either way.

As is stands, Trumps approval is again currently on the upswing contrary to the Dems belief of what impeachment would do to him.

Independents are by and large showing weariness toward the Dems and impeachment and just want it over. Far left Dems are unhappy if a status quo candidate gets chosen. Bernie is potentially getting screwed again which alienates a lot of voters. They may not vote Trump, but just may not vote and turnout is the key.
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Old 02-03-2020, 10:42 AM   #62
oeb11
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Originally Posted by WTF View Post
Wacko never let the truth get in the way of his lies and distortions.

ftw never let the truth (FACTS) get in the way of his lies and distortions.
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Old 02-03-2020, 01:57 PM   #63
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Originally Posted by Chung Tran View Post
the Republicans can only lose 2 seats and hold the Senate.

I think it is way to early to call any races. so much can happen in 9+ months. most posters here say Trump wins a landslide, meanwhile the top 4 Democrats poll ahead of Trump as of today.
I agree that it is too early to cast anything in stone regarding the November 2020 election. I see it at a more interesting talking subject than most other discussion points on the forum.
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Old 02-03-2020, 02:14 PM   #64
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Originally Posted by eccielover View Post
Until the Dem candidate is actually selected and we are in the run up for the general election, there is no reason to believe Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, etc. are going to end up either way.

As is stands, Trumps approval is again currently on the upswing contrary to the Dems belief of what impeachment would do to him.

Independents are by and large showing weariness toward the Dems and impeachment and just want it over. Far left Dems are unhappy if a status quo candidate gets chosen. Bernie is potentially getting screwed again which alienates a lot of voters. They may not vote Trump, but just may not vote and turnout is the key.
I disagree with you but appreciate your opinion.

Most Trump supporters on this forum have already determined that Trump will win the election, most believing he will win by a landslide (approximately 375 electoral votes minimum). I am willing to make certain predictions about the upcoming elections but not about the outcome of the presidential election. All in fun.

I had no idea what the impeachment process would do to Trump's approval rating. Yes, it has helped quite a bit at this point in time. Will it remain where it is or go up or down? He is still negative by quite a bit.

I don't know why you think Bernie might be getting screwed again. Have to wait and see. If Bernie is NOT the nominee, will his supporters go with Trump or Biden, assuming for the moment Biden is the candidate? I could see moderate Democratic voters voting for Trump over Sanders but not far-left Democratic voters voting for Trump over Biden.

Certainly turnout is the key. A key reason why Hillary Clinton lost certain states is not because the African American voters did not support her in the same way they supported Obama, rather the fact is that they did not turn out to vote as they did with Obama. Democratic voters showed up in mass in the 2018 midterms. I see that as a positive for 2020.
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