The Official "Trump Wins" Celebration Thread

[IAmReallyIronman]

Originally Posted by TravelingHere

His odds are soaring again right now

https://polymarket.com/elections

I can tell you aren't really familiar with the sources you quote. That's ok...I've noticed most of the MAGAs aren't, despite the whole "do your own research thing".


Polybet is backed by Peter Thiel’s VC firm. Thiel is the former CEO of Paypal, billionaire, JD Vance financier, and blood-boy aficionado. The skewing is coming from inside the house. It will (probably) be used as “evidence” to drive the fraud allegations if the wrong side wins.


But on to the whole gambling odds thing: Odds given by gambling sites or bookmakers in general, are not just based on the likelihood of the results, but also the bets placed.

They are a useful indicator as to who gamblers think will win, but that’s all. It's wishful thinking at it's most distinct example.

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by IAmReallyIronman

I can tell you aren't really familiar with the sources you quote. That's ok...I've noticed most of the MAGAs aren't, despite the whole "do your own research thing".


Polybet is backed by Peter Thiel’s VC firm. Thiel is the former CEO of Paypal, billionaire, JD Vance financier, and blood-boy aficionado. The skewing is coming from inside the house. It will (probably) be used as “evidence” to drive the fraud allegations if the wrong side wins.


But on to the whole gambling odds thing: Odds given by gambling sites or bookmakers in general, are not just based on the likelihood of the results, but also the bets placed.

They are a useful indicator as to who gamblers think will win, but that’s all. It's wishful thinking at it's most distinct example.

It's much like the stock market. It's efficient for participants to bet rationally.
If you know better then go make a fortune in the markets!

[texassapper]

[VitaMan]

ABOUT


Anyone But Old Unhinged Trump

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by VitaMan

ABOUT


Anyone But Old Unhinged Trump

IDK, I like the guy. He got my vote

[fd-guy]

Originally Posted by TravelingHere

IDK, I like the guy. He got my vote

Might want to find some more friends. Charlie is in a panic and trying to round up more incels.

[fd-guy]

Originally Posted by TravelingHere

It's much like the stock market. It's efficient for participants to bet rationally.

I can tell you and I see the stock market very differently.

[TravelingHere]

The night before the election, our forecast shows that Donald Trump has a 53% chance of winning the 2024 election.

Trump: 53
Harris 47

https://x.com/decisiondeskhq/status/1853595206031163683


Trump Winning 4 battlegrounds, Tied 1, Loses 1

https://x.com/decisiondeskhq/status/1853606150081818722

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by fd-guy

I can tell you and I see the stock market very differently.

Are you referring to penny stock pump and dump.. I suppose anything is possible.
I guess we'll see the results soon enough

[fd-guy]

Originally Posted by TravelingHere

The night before the election, our forecast shows that Donald Trump has a 53% chance of winning the 2024 election.

Trump: 53
Harris 47

https://x.com/decisiondeskhq/status/1853595206031163683


Trump Winning 4 battlegrounds, Tied 1, Loses 1

https://x.com/decisiondeskhq/status/1853606150081818722

This night before the 2016 election Hillary Clinton had a 71% chance of winning.

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by fd-guy

This night before the 2016 election Hillary Clinton had a 71% chance of winning.

Sure maybe, are you suggesting the polls attempt to suppress/ discourage Dem votes by showing Trump is likely to win?

[fd-guy]

Originally Posted by TravelingHere

Sure maybe, are you suggesting the polls attempt to suppress/ discourage Dem votes by showing Trump is likely to win?

That's a pretty big leap regarding my suggesting anything. I'm just showing polls say lots of things, and often don't mean jack shit. Personally, I think Harris is going to win. Clearly you don't think so. We'll all find out soon enough.

I encourage everyone to vote. We get the government we deserve. If folks can't be bothered outvote poor misguided MAGAs that have been consumed by a conman, then that's what we should get.

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by fd-guy

That's a pretty big leap regarding my suggesting anything. I'm just showing polls say lots of things, and often don't mean jack shit. Personally, I think Harris is going to win. Clearly you don't think so. We'll all find out soon enough.


I encourage everyone to vote. We get the government we deserve. If folks can't be bothered outvote to poor misguided MAGAs that have been consumed by a conman, then that's what we should get.

Ah, so you may be the guy to enlighten us benighted peasants. Could you elucidate the con?
The con I see is our politicians and the rich getting richer, and common people poorer, with less rights, less free speech and us just electing these conmen each election cycle.
But maybe you hold a more rational and convincing perspective?

[fd-guy]

Originally Posted by TravelingHere

Ah, so you may be the guy to enlighten us benighted peasants. Could you elucidate the con?
The con I see is our politicians and the rich getting richer, and common people poorer, with less rights, less free speech and us just electing these conmen each election cycle.
But maybe you hold a more rational and convincing perspective?

No "maybe" about it. I'm certain that I do.


But it's not my job to teach gown ass people to think for themselves, it's just my job to go do my civic duty and try to out vote them. If you're looking for someone to educate you, you'll have to find someone that gives a fuck what you think. I don't.

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by fd-guy

No "maybe" about it. I'm certain that I do.


But it's not my job to teach gown ass people to think for themselves, it's just my job to go do my civic duty and try to out vote them. If you're looking for someone to educate you, you'll have to find someone that gives a fuck what you think. I don't.

Now THAT is classy! I'm blown away : D