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11-05-2014, 12:53 AM
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#121
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GlobeSpotter
just up your Martingale.
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All in on Sonya! All the hard ways for the lady. Or maybe a 3 way yo might b kinda fun.
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11-05-2014, 01:54 AM
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#122
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Chapter 3
One word. Color. i push in stacks after stacks. rails and rails of red (5), green (25), black (100), plus the odd couple of purple (500). The obligatory count commences. 7,200, give or take a few. I'm getting ready to drop off pretty much the whole bankroll at the cage and leaving it as front money. and Victoria says, "why don't we play a little roulette?" i'm like, "you sure you want to play roulette? don't you wanna go sightseeing on the strip baby?" "nope, i want to play roulette." i'm a little uncomfortable. "well how long do you want to play for?" i'm looking for a tangible out. maybe we can sit down for 15 minutes and Victoria can get her little roulette fix. "let's just go with the flow." go with the flow. those words echo in eternity. "let's just go with the flow." Ha.
so i cancel my trip to the cage and instead we amble over to the roulette table, 5 to 1000. i nestle in. i pull out my chips from the dice game. honestly, it looked ridiculous. no one on earth sits down at a roulette table at the El Cortez with over 7000 in chips. the bosses kind of murmur among themselves, like who the hell is this nutjob? we've never seen this much money on a roulette table, well practically ever.
and we sink into the rhythm of the game. I'm running a straight Martingale, Victoria's progression. well i never told her i named a roulette betting progression in her honor. she might have thought that was a little strange. i'm playing contra to the table: when reds are hitting, i'm betting black. when odds are hitting, i'm betting evens. things get pretty exciting. have some progressions that get as high as 500 before i finally hit. i should have noticed thunderclouds on the horizon.
but i'm trucking along, making 15 here, 30 there, 160 on the more exciting runs. well i'm watching the board and i notice a string of blacks. i figure red is overdue. i put 5 on red. 28 black comes up. 12$ on red. 34 black hits. 30 on red. green single 0 hits. 80 on red. green 00 hits. god i hate those fucking greens. are you kidding me? 200 red. 4 black hits. 500 on red. 00 again. fucking greens. you gotta be kidding me! 1000 on red. 6 black comes up. now i have a conundrum. i'm at the table limit. my bankroll is still able to back up my bets, but there isn't a 2000 bet on the table. i improvise. 1000 on red, 1000 on odd. black 16 comes up. i curse. now i have a double problem. i'm up against the table limit and my bankroll limit. i say, fuck it. all in. 1000 odd, 1000 red, 1000 high numbers (19-36). if i hit at least 2 out of 3 bets, i resolve to call it a day, count my losses, and regroup tomorrow. the dealer spins. i practically can't even watch. at least in dice, as a shooter, i have some say in my destiny. here, i am at the whim and caprice of the malevolent gods of fortune. and at this table, they have not been kind. time slowed down. the universe collapsed into this spinning orb. i grit my teeth, and await my fate. 00. again. oh, u gotta love those greens. u really gotta love those greens.
martingale should be shot.
well Victoria and i made it into springtime. when she went mia on spring break when i finally had time off work, that was the end of us.
but i was not deterred. lesson learned. never fight the table. i should have been betting greens the whole time! who knew? course, it was so simple.
stay tuned...
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11-05-2014, 04:23 AM
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#123
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpiceItUp
"Booty pics" courtesy of pxmcc. Sorry ladies, have to put these in private tags. I'm sure you're all crushed
Once again I have to say, I'm a little underwhelmed bro, step your photography game up the people demand better from their free entertainment....
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alright spice. i guess i need to do another photo shoot. man she's gonna make me take her to fucking benihana's or some other expensive shit. lol. let's see, should i shoot some pics while i'm buried deep in that work of art? one of fresh nut generously disseminated on those gravity-defying walnut crackers? how bout a video of the walnut crackers brutally crushing walnuts? i dunno, i think the whole spread starfish thing is kinda sexy. just imagine the possibilities! someone said that shit was just bio 101. maybe if my bio 101 book had more pics like that, maybe i would studied a little harder. gotten my bio mcat score from a 13 to a 15. or something. here's to more sex and more hot spread booties in boring textbooks!
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11-05-2014, 04:34 AM
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#124
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pxmcc
oh so thats someone else? frickin hilarious. can i get ur no vote sir? cause thats the only way u get to keep the hate up. so far we have one yes; that would be spice. what r all u haters waitin for? haven't ya'll figured out the punchline here? sure, this story is about dice. but aren't you curious about rory's shoes? who wears shoes like that? put the pieces together. who the hell wears shoes like that? anyone? dg have u figured it out yet? russ? i mean u guys r real smart, right? so who wears shoes like that? hint- its a 4 letter word. come on geniuses, show me how smart u are. wakeup i know ur a frickin genius. ur answer is...?
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by the way, has anyone solved the riddle yet? take a stab at it? (yes i know im not supposed to quote myself. well, tough nookies.)
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11-05-2014, 04:48 AM
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#125
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pyramider
I thought you were referring to Bosnian Serbs.
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ya if i knew he was talking about the Bosnian Serbs, completely different story! hell i'd be the first to crank up the dials!
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11-05-2014, 04:55 AM
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#126
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kerwil62
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Added private tags. Please familiarize yourself with the forum guidelines below.
-Spice
Eccie Forum Guidelines
#20 - The men and women of our board each have their respective private areas in which secure content is posted and a greater freedom of expression allowed. Each member is responsible for keeping the information in any of the private secure areas (Men's Lounge, Provider Powder Room, The Rest of the Story, posts which have been tagged as private) 100% restricted to the members who are intended to have access to that material. Revealing ANY content which was posted in one of the men's or women's private sections of the board will result in penalty, up to and including loss of your access to these areas. Full cooperation may result in a less severe penalty, and each violation will be handled on a case-by-case basis. Repeated infractions will impact the severity of punishment.
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11-05-2014, 05:23 AM
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#127
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Oct 3, 2014
Location: Houston
Posts: 165
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Staff edit, Spice - Added private tags
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11-05-2014, 09:52 AM
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#128
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BANNED
User ID: 200156
Join Date: Aug 12, 2013
Location: Houston
Posts: 807
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I'm just teasing pxmcc. I don't think we would have good chemistry. You use language that I'm not comfortable with.
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11-05-2014, 10:13 AM
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#129
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Oct 16, 2010
Location: Goatland
Posts: 627
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sonya
I'm just teasing pxmcc. I don't think we would have good chemistry. You use language that I'm not comfortable with.
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Awwww...come on Sonya, I mean this guy is a LEGEND, in his own mind.
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11-05-2014, 11:14 AM
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#130
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 21, 2009
Location: Republic of Texas
Posts: 3,323
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Goatnipples
Awwww...come on Sonya, I mean this guy is a LEGEND, in his own mind.
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...and with thorough editing you would have an epic equal to On the Road; if, that is, Dean Moriarty (gov't name Neal Cassady) had been a moron. Which he wasn't.
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11-05-2014, 12:06 PM
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#131
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Ambassador
Join Date: Jul 5, 2010
Location: Houston
Posts: 10,958
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pxmcc
quiz question-was that Martingale or Anti-Martingale? did it work? how much would i have made if i gone Martingale?
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Ok sure I'll give a serious response why not.
It's a trick question. The answer is it was neither a Martingale nor an Anti-Martingale, the rest of your questions are based upon that false premise. Martingales in probability theory only apply to a "fair game", i.e. one in which the Expectation Value=0 (odds of a win*amount won)
This doesn't really exist in a casino due to house edge but is fairly close enough to 50% on things like blackjack, red/black Roulete, or pass/don't pass craps bets for gambler's (flawed) purposes.
All your bets on everything else are not "fair games" do not fall into the Martingale Central Limit Theorem in which, over large numbers of repetitions in a fair game, the EV over time=0 and are normally distributed.
Either way, belief in betting systems is for suckers who are prone to committing Gambler's Fallacies and misunderstand probability theory, specifically the Law of Large Numbers. Every repetition's outcome is independent of the last, there is no such thing as hot/not hot only the natural result of variance causing "streaks". The result of the next repetition is not affected by the last. You're just as statistically likely to flip a coin and get 10 heads in a row, HHHHHHHHHH as you are to get HTTTHTHTHT yet people seem to believe that 10 heads in a row is much less likely or that if you get 9 heads in a row you're "due for a tail"
There is a large body of work out there mathematically disproving every progression betting system (modifying the next bet based upon the outcome of the last) in existence.
It looks like in part3 when playing red/black Roulette bets you butted up against the fundamental problem with the practical application of the Martingale betting system as opposed to how it looks on paper. It only has an EV=0 if you have an infinite risk tolerance, bank roll, and time...and no table limits. Lacking any of these causes eventual failure every time and exposure to very high risk vs reward the whole time.
If you sit down at a table to flip coins you have roughly a 1/256 chance of losing 8 flips in a row. Following the Martingale system and starting at a $25 bet you'd be risking $6400 on your 9th coin flip. It's not that improbable and even if you won your next coin flip you're only back to being up $25. I can't remember exactly but in Blackjack (which used to be my game a long time ago) I believe in something like every 15 hours of play at a full table you're statistically likely to experience a run of 10 losses in a row, playing solo or with only a couple of other people speeds that up significantly as the hands/hour increases dramatically. I used to play marathon sessions over long weekends where I'd easily play for 15 hours often at less than full tables. It seems improbable but it isn't really when you understand the odds and how they actually work against you.
Anti-martingale systems seem safer but really you still lose money at the same rate just with less negative and positive swings. As soon as you lose once you're back to where you started minus any minimum bets made. They will both win sometimes, but lose most times, and all will lose over the long run same as every other betting system.
Hey don't feel bad though, every casino newbie eventually hears about and tries a betting system. They seem logical, but aren't... the only people making money over any length of time on a betting system are the one's selling books on the subject
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11-05-2014, 12:10 PM
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#132
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Ambassador
Join Date: Jul 5, 2010
Location: Houston
Posts: 10,958
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pxmcc
oh so thats someone else? frickin hilarious. can i get ur no vote sir? cause thats the only way u get to keep the hate up. so far we have one yes; that would be spice. what r all u haters waitin for? haven't ya'll figured out the punchline here? sure, this story is about dice. but aren't you curious about rory's shoes? who wears shoes like that? put the pieces together. who the hell wears shoes like that? anyone? dg have u figured it out yet? russ? i mean u guys r real smart, right? so who wears shoes like that? hint- its a 4 letter word. come on geniuses, show me how smart u are. wakeup i know ur a frickin genius. ur answer is...?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pxmcc
by the way, has anyone solved the riddle yet? take a stab at it? (yes i know im not supposed to quote myself. well, tough nookies.)
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Also, I believe the answer you are looking for here is "FAGS". Did I win?
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11-05-2014, 12:34 PM
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#133
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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alright this kinda sucks, but i got another infraction. so i'm about to get like a 6 month ban. so here's the plan. i'm going skip several chapters and go right to the punchline. then i'm gonna zip it. after like 6 months, maybe i will write the middle chapters. maybe.
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11-05-2014, 12:38 PM
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#134
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 8, 2013
Location: houston, tx
Posts: 9,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpiceItUp
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nope. the correct answer is: pimp. only a pimp would wear shoes like that. and since my nephew is a navy frogman and most definitely not a pimp, then....?
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11-05-2014, 12:53 PM
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#135
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Feb 22, 2010
Location: Houston
Posts: 12,735
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You went to vegas with haughtboys?
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