Who will win......Obama vs Romney

[bojulay]

Originally Posted by waverunner234

And considering that, people like joe blow or ww or ibh are mainly too stupid to realize that. And besides that, they are from texas, a state that is considered one of the most filthy and under-educated and under-insured states in the USA.

With record numbers of minimum wage earners, texas really stands out.

Where does it stand out?

AT THE VERY BOTTOM

Yeah, guess that's why people and companies are flocking in
droves to Texas from broke, overtaxed waste lands like California.

Yeah we hear in Texas wish we could be just like California,
NOT, NOT, NOT, NOT, NOT. Do us all a favor and hurry up and
fall into the ocean already.

Problem is they are bringing their dead and belly up Liberal ideas
and politics with them. Dear God I wish we could close the
borders of Texas, not with Mexico, the other end, the most
dangerous one.

In a few short years I'm afraid Texas will no longer be the
greatest state in the Union, and will have turned into just
another Liberal waste land.

Yeah, Biden really is the one we would most want as our President,
Jesus, Mary, and Joseph.

[LovingKayla]

Romney. Land slide. At least 5 points.

[Laz]

Romney. I don't think it will end up being that close.

[markroxny]

If the president wins Ohio, he wins the election, it's math.

The president will win Ohio.

[kerwil62]

Obama/Biden 2012!!

[IIFFOFRDB]

The American will win....

[Pharmaguy729]

With the way the polls are shaping up according to 2008 turnouts, which were a record for Democrats, it would be Obama... but it wont turn out that way... I would look more at the way it broke in the 2010 midterms... there is a strong anti-Obama sentiment out there... Obama has basically given up Florida, NC, and Virignia..... Romeny can win even withhout Ohio, though I still think he will win it by a small margin.... it is funny to see how states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are now in play for Romney as well. Thhe critical thing is to look at the "undecided" voters in these polls.... Romey is leading in almost all of these polls by almost 10% with them. And in a bad economy, the truly undecided will usually vote for the challenger come election day....

[cptjohnstone]

interesting, Fox says if it a tie, house votes for the president but in the


Senate Biden would be VP? how does that work

[CuteOldGuy]

The Senate doesn't have a say in that situation. Each state's representatives in the House will caucus and cast one vote for President. The winning candidate will have to have 26 votes. I don't know what would happen if it ended up 25-25.

[JakeofTx]

Originally Posted by ekim008

with Mittens treading water in the debate ,and coming to the center.He will loose the rabid right...

LMAO,

[Texas Contrarian]

Originally Posted by cptjohnstone

interesting, Fox says if it a tie, house votes for the president but in the


Senate Biden would be VP? how does that work

New York's "hobbyist former governor" explains it thusly:

http://www.slate.com/blogs/spitzer/2...president.html

[CuteOldGuy]

That's right, the Senate chooses the VP. It could be very interesting.

[TexTushHog]

Originally Posted by Pharmaguy729

With the way the polls are shaping up according to 2008 turnouts, which were a record for Democrats, it would be Obama... but it wont turn out that way... I would look more at the way it broke in the 2010 midterms... there is a strong anti-Obama sentiment out there... Obama has basically given up Florida, NC, and Virignia..... Romeny can win even withhout Ohio, though I still think he will win it by a small margin.... it is funny to see how states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are now in play for Romney as well. Thhe critical thing is to look at the "undecided" voters in these polls.... Romey is leading in almost all of these polls by almost 10% with them. And in a bad economy, the truly undecided will usually vote for the challenger come election day....

Obama campaign is VERY active in Virginia, still. Somewhat active in Florida. Pulled TV in NC.

[Texas Contrarian]

Originally Posted by dearhunter

Who will win the election?

Not, who do you want to win the election........put your money where your mouth is and post your vote where it can't be reversed later.

Ten days out, and it's a real horse race.

I don't bet on elections, and probably never will, but would pick Obama if forced to do so. In fact, I would probably lay odds based on the assumption that the probablility of his re-election is at least 0.65. Polls show that the popular vote is very close, but analysts note that the electoral map breaks down in Obama's favor.

Many people in the world of investments and finance think Nate Silver is one of the best analysts. He and his assistants run large numbers of electoral vote simulations, and he wrote recently that there's approximately a 0.50 probablilty that Ohio will be absolutely determinative.

If that's true, the status of current economic conditions in Ohio is very good news for Obama. Ohio's business climate is not the best in the nation, but it's better than most, and it's going in the right direction. It's wonderful relative to that of Illinois, for example, which seems intent on emulating the fiscal recklessness of California. That's unambiguously good news for Obama's re-election chances, irrespective of whether voters really think his policies have much to do with the region's recovery.

Here's one thing I've wondered, though:

How accurate are today's polls? It seems to me that to a greater extent every year, poll responses are skewed toward something that looks like the representation of a shrinking sample space -- those with the highest propensity to answer calls to landline phones from "out of area" or "anonymous" numbers. How can pollsters reach a representative sample? For instance, perhaps tens of millions of younger adults don't even have landline phones nowadays.

Presumably, pollsters have developed models to adjust for that sort of skewness. Maybe they're fairly accurate, maybe not. If not, there may be some very embarrassed pollsters!

In any case, I suspect that a lot of people will be staying up late on election night to see what happened.

I just hope there's a clean result without a year 2000 Florida-style clusterfuck.

Or worse, several Florida-style clusterfucks!

[joe bloe]

Originally Posted by bojulay

Romney will win with over 270, somewhere around 300.

Obama I hear that train back to Chicago coming
down the tracks. ha ha ha

I think Obama will take a long vacation to decompress after he loses the election. He'll probably go someplace where he can kick back, relax and just be himself among like minded people. My guess is Pakistan.