9% OF OBAMA VOTERS NOW SUPPORT ROMNEY

[Whirlaway]

Posted by Dan Spencer at Redstate. com...

Gallup reports that 9 percent of 2008 Obama voters have switched and now support Romney, while only 5 percent of McCain voters support President Obama.

Worse for Obama, only 86 percent of voters who say they voted for Obama in 2008 are backing Obama again this year, while 92 percent of McCain voters are supporting Republican candidate Mitt Romney.

The new Gallup results are not good for Obama. Jim Geraghty crunched the numbers and concluded the result is a very narrow Obama lead:

“If you allocate Obama 86 percent of his 2008 total and 5 percent of McCain’s 2008 total, and allocate Romney 92 percent of McCain’s total and 9 percent of Obama’s 2008 total, you end up with a very, very narrow Obama lead: 47.8 percent to 46.8 percent.”

The Gallup data confirms what I have been experiencing — more and more people telling me that they voted for Obama in 2008 but they are not going to vote for him again. I try to take such anecdotal evidence with a grain of salt, but I’ve heard it so much lately I was thinking there might be something to it, and now Gallup has provided some hard data to back up the anecdotal data.

Nearly a tenth of Obama’s 2008 electorate is hopping over the fence and switching sides. One must wonder if they’re bailing on the Obama ticket because of his abysmal economic record, his negative campaign of gutter politics, or because they have more confidence in Romney...


http://www.redstate.com/california_y...upport-romney/

[i'va biggen]

Don't get your hopes up,it's too early for polls.I still remember the Headlines Dewey wins...

[Whirlaway]

Don't worry Ekim; when it comes to a chunck of American voters I assume the worse case senario, but hope for the best outcome............too many are dumb as rock and those types almost always go Democratic....

[joe bloe]

I think Romney is actually ahead. Almost all the polls are over sampling Democrats. The last Pew Research poll, sampled Democrats at almost two to one over Republicans. This is done to compensate for supposed better turnout for Democrats. In the 2008 presidential race, the Democrat turnout was D+8; Pew used D+19 for the upcoming 2012 election. They're polling based on the assumption that Obama is going to get a dramatically better turnout than last time.

A lot of the other polls are using D+10 and D+11, still assuming that Obama is going to have a more energized base than last time. If the polls were done based on the assumption that Obama's base has eroded, the polls should probably be using D+6, certainly not D+19.

Poll Farce: Pew Oversamples Democrats to Boost Obama

On what alternate universe will Democrats enjoy a D +19 turnout advantage over Republicans on election day? Well, that would be Planet Pew:

The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted July 16-26, 2012, among 2,508 adults, including 1,956 registered voters, finds that, in keeping with his favorability advantage, Obama continues to hold a sizable lead over Romney in the election contest. Currently, 51% say they support Obama or lean toward him, while 41% support or lean toward Romney.
Except….
Sample Size:
459 Republicans
813 Democrats
599 Independents
In the best election season Democrats have enjoyed since Nixon resigned, 2008, the Democrat advantage was only D+8, but Pew is now attempting to hustle us into believing the turnout this year is going to be D +19.
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Governm...w-Boosts-Obama

[i'va biggen]

Originally Posted by Whirlaway

Don't worry Ekim; when it comes to a chunck of American voters I assume the worse case senario, but hope for the best outcome............too many are dumb as rock and those types almost always go Democratic....

I'm not worried either one wins we are fucked.....