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10-07-2020, 07:49 AM
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#1
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BANNED
Join Date: Apr 19, 2017
Location: Dallas
Posts: 5,116
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The pollsters are starting to cover their asses
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10-07-2020, 07:57 AM
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#2
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Oct 1, 2013
Location: Dallas TX
Posts: 12,555
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Oh shit Hillary didn't win ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
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10-07-2020, 08:25 AM
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#3
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BANNED
Join Date: Jun 5, 2017
Location: austin
Posts: 22,563
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biden is in full scatology
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10-07-2020, 03:21 PM
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#4
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: Georgetown, Texas
Posts: 9,251
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From FiveThirtyEight which is Silver's website. Biden wins in 84% of the scenarios.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Trump trails Biden by considerably more than he trailed Clinton in 2016. I doubt conditions will change much in 27 days but who knows?
Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.
In 2016 RCP had Clinton +3.2 on election day. She won by 2.1. Today Biden is up 9.7 and the margin is increasing, not decreasing as it was in 2016. It was 6.1 a week ago.
Yes, Trump can win. But I wouldn't bet the ranch on it.
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10-07-2020, 03:29 PM
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#5
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Feb 5, 2010
Location: houston
Posts: 7,101
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Didn't you lose the ranch in 2016 on your sure bet?? 
bitten couldn't lose with all the crowds and strong enthusiasm he has...no need to have an election. Just anoint him like hellory should have been...the left has been saying Trump isn't a "legitimate" President.
With the now proven russian hoax and the sham of an impeachment that has cost tax payers 100 of millions that should be grounds enough to crown bitten immediately!! 
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10-07-2020, 04:58 PM
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#6
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BANNED
Join Date: May 5, 2013
Location: Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Posts: 36,100
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Those Tweets are from 3 weeks ago, LOL. Trump has LOST a lot of ground since then. And millions of votes have been cast already.
Cling to your false hope, though.
I am seeing fewer Trump signs lately. Like some people have removed them from their yards. I see more from the local Republican, than for Trump. Unusual.
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10-07-2020, 07:09 PM
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#7
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BANNED
Join Date: Jun 5, 2017
Location: austin
Posts: 22,563
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chung Tran
Those Tweets are from 3 weeks ago, LOL. Trump has LOST a lot of ground since then. And millions of votes have been cast already.
Cling to your false hope, though.
I am seeing fewer Trump signs lately. Like some people have removed them from their yards. I see more from the local Republican, than for Trump. Unusual.
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Trump signs are vandalized or stolen. Also in todays world if a person supports Trump they are labeled as racists!
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10-07-2020, 10:08 PM
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#8
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BANNED
Join Date: Mar 4, 2019
Location: In the valley
Posts: 10,786
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Quote:
Originally Posted by texassapper
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Why should Biden win? He's dumb as shit and Kamala Harris is nothing but a corporate Office Whore and they don't even like each other. Two people working together that don't like each other seldom accomplish anything at all. It's too big a risk, fuck'em.
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10-07-2020, 10:53 PM
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#9
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Clarksville
Posts: 60,190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by winn dixie
Trump signs are vandalized or stolen. Also in todays world if a person supports Trump they are labeled as racists!
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Could it be because maybe they support one?
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10-07-2020, 11:06 PM
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#10
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Apr 4, 2011
Location: sacremento
Posts: 3,495
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
From FiveThirtyEight which is Silver's website. Biden wins in 84% of the scenarios.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Trump trails Biden by considerably more than he trailed Clinton in 2016. I doubt conditions will change much in 27 days but who knows?
Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.
In 2016 RCP had Clinton +3.2 on election day. She won by 2.1. Today Biden is up 9.7 and the margin is increasing, not decreasing as it was in 2016. It was 6.1 a week ago. |
Good post Speedracer. Right now RCP has Biden +7 in Penn and +5 in Mich and Wisc. If Biden flips Penn Mich and Wisc, Biden get 270 and Trump goes home.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
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10-08-2020, 12:39 AM
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#11
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BANNED
Join Date: Jun 5, 2017
Location: austin
Posts: 22,563
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The polls are being rigged by soros and china! Ya'll are like cats chasing a laser pointer! lolling
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10-08-2020, 04:22 AM
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#12
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BANNED
Join Date: Jul 26, 2013
Location: Railroad Tracks, other side thereof
Posts: 6,997
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What's old is new again
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
From FiveThirtyEight which is Silver's website. Biden wins in 84% of the scenarios...
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You should bet your ranch, car and half of your heard of cats on some FiveThirtyEight scenarios.
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10-08-2020, 04:34 AM
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#13
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BANNED
Join Date: Jul 26, 2013
Location: Railroad Tracks, other side thereof
Posts: 6,997
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A-head giver of her time
Quote:
Originally Posted by Levianon17
Why should Biden win?...
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I think Kamala called it correctly when she labeled Joe-mentia Hiden a racist in the primary.
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10-08-2020, 05:25 AM
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#14
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BANNED
Join Date: Mar 16, 2016
Location: Steel City
Posts: 7,672
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Quote:
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Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.
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In what world does a 17 point shift in one week seem plausible?
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10-08-2020, 06:11 AM
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#15
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: Georgetown, Texas
Posts: 9,251
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bb1961
Didn't you lose the ranch in 2016 on your sure bet??
bitten couldn't lose with all the crowds and strong enthusiasm he has...no need to have an election. Just anoint him like hellory should have been...the left has been saying Trump isn't a "legitimate" President.
With the now proven russian hoax and the sham of an impeachment that has cost tax payers 100 of millions that should be grounds enough to crown bitten immediately!! |
Yes I did. I was incorrect in 2016 and dead-on in 2018. However, I didn't bet on anything. I made an incorrect prediction.
As OEB has pointed out several times, election day in 26 days will be the ultimate determinator as to who leads the country over the next 4 years. At that point in time we can look back and determine the accuracy of the polls.
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