A virtual dead heat, but the trend is unmistakable and undeniable.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...4&sc=shoreline
Joe Biden Retakes the Lead Over Trump in National Polling Average
President Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in the race to the White House, according to national polling averages.
In March, the incumbent president and the former leader won enough primary races to secure, respectively, the Democratic and Republican nominations in the 2024 presidential election. Polls have so far shown that the results will be tight as the pair are statistically tied in most surveys or enjoying only marginal leads.
However, according to poll tracker VoteHub, which aggregates polling averages of polls issued by highly rated pollsters in the last 28 days, Biden's fortunes may be improving and the Democrat is now slightly ahead of Trump by 0.2 percent with 46.3 percent of the vote to Trump's 46.1 percent.
Newsweek contacted representatives for Trump and Biden by email to comment on this story.
This marks a change from last week, when according to election forecasters 270 to Win, Trump was leading the national polls on average by just under two points (45.8 percent to Biden's 44 percent) based on the last eight surveys.
According to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, the Republican was also ahead of his Democratic rival by 1.5 percent as of May 24. This was the largest lead the former president has had since April 2, when he was ahead by the same margin.
Since then, Trump was handed a guilty verdict in his hush money case which may have affected potential voter's opinion about him. Nevertheless, there are still five months to go until voters go to the ballots and experts have cautioned against relying on polls at this stage.
Thomas Gift, who heads the Centre on US Politics at University College London, previously told Newsweek that reading too much into polls was "a fool's errand."
"Polls are so variable at this point that the only consistent insight we can glean from them is that Biden and Trump are neck and neck—not only nationally but in key swing states," he said. "Trying to read too much into any one poll, or even set of polls, five months out from the election is a fool's errand."
Meanwhile, while national polls are interesting, the 2024 presidential election will likely be determined in just a handful of key swing states due to the U.S.'s Electoral College system which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes, based on population. A presidential candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success.
The presidential election will take place on November 5.
Joe Biden Retakes the Lead Over Trump in National Polling Average
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