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Tiny · 08-03-2023, 06:22 PM

Here's a link to betting odds for wagers related to Donald Trump on betonline.ag.

https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/...s/donald-trump

For the bet will Trump "serve jail time before 2026," right now American odds are -300 for "No" and +200 for "Yes." That means if you bet $300 that Trump will not go to jail, you win $100 if you're right. On the other hand, if you bet $100 that Trump will go to jail and you're right, you win $200.

This implies the punters and/or the bookie believe there's between a 25% and 33% probability Trump will go to jail before 2026.

winn dixie · 08-03-2023, 07:23 PM

No I doubt he'll see jail. He would sell secrets to Russia and authorities know that.
Also trumppf would flee to his Russian compound before being escorted to jail

golferguy55 · 08-03-2023, 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by winn dixie

No I doubt he'll see jail. He would sell secrets to Russia and authorities know that.
Also trumppf would flee to his Russian compound before being escorted to jail

Can you show us proof that Trump owns a compound in Russia heh WD? Or is this just another of your long list of disingenuous posts? I mean after all you did not know the difference between RFK Jr. and JFK Jr. in that thread you posted. Snick snick. And to stay on topic doubtful that Trump will do any jail time.

oilfieldace · 08-03-2023, 07:31 PM

He spent a single second in jail, the government does have a case. They know it and the sane people in this country knows it as well. It’s all salad and no meat. Since some believe it is ok for the President to give directives to AG, just remember what you said when he jails half the Clintons, Kerry’s and Bidens, is his first term he didn’t pursue going against the rival party, but all bets are off his next four years.

winn dixie · 08-03-2023, 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golferguy55

Can you show us proof that Trump owns a compound in Russia heh WD? Or is this just another of your long list of disingenuous posts? I mean after all you did not know the difference between RFK Jr. and JFK Jr. in that thread you posted. Snick snick.

Trump has business and land in Russia. Well known. I owned up to the typo of Mr jr. Good grief lol
I doubt trumpf will see a jail cell. Political corruption will keep him out or he'll flee to russia.

oilfieldace · 08-03-2023, 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golferguy55

Can you show us proof that Trump owns a compound in Russia heh WD? Or is this just another of your long list of disingenuous posts? I mean after all you did not know the difference between RFK Jr. and JFK Jr. in that thread you posted. Snick snick. And to stay on topic doubtful that Trump will do any jail time.

Easily checked , Trump doesn’t own anything in Russia. Some posters believe everything they say, Truth doesn’t enter the equation

Trump was never able to successfully conclude any real estate deals in Russia.

golferguy55 · 08-03-2023, 08:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by winn dixie

Trump has business and land in Russia. Well known. I owned up to the typo of Mr jr. Good grief lol
I doubt trumpf will see a jail cell. Political corruption will keep him out or he'll flee to russia.

Then you should easily be able to furnish us a link showing that he has business and owns land in Russia. If not then just another of your disingenuous posts. And snick snick the fact that you started a thread not knowing the difference between RFK Jr and JFK Jr speaks volumes. And as mentioned doubtful that Trump does any jail time.

winn dixie · 08-03-2023, 08:41 PM

Typos are mistakes. I know the names. Keep clinging to that.

It's well documented his shell companies own said property. Newsmax and telegraph telegram won't tell you that. Lolling
Topic of trump seeing a Jail cell. America would be better off. Neither trump nor Biden will see a cell..
But trumpf would flee to Russia before it were to happen so to me 26 is irrelevant

Tiny · 08-03-2023, 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by winn dixie

No I doubt he'll see jail. He would sell secrets to Russia and authorities know that.
Also trumppf would flee to his Russian compound before being escorted to jail

Quote:

Originally Posted by winn dixie

Trump has business and land in Russia. Well known. I owned up to the typo of Mr jr. Good grief lol
I doubt trumpf will see a jail cell. Political corruption will keep him out or he'll flee to russia.

You can bet on that Winn Dixie! See the same site,

https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/...s/donald-trump

The odds for Trump "to move to Russia before 2025" are -20,000 for "No" and +4,000 for "Yes." That means you can put up $100 and get a cool $4,000 profit if Trump does indeed fly the coop and land Trump Force One in Moscow!

If you want to take the other side of the wager, you'll win $100 for a $20,000 wager if Trump doesn't depart for Russia.

What this is telling me is I want to be a bookie! That's quite a spread between the two sides of the bet.

golferguy55 · 08-03-2023, 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by winn dixie

Typos are mistakes. I know the names. Keep clinging to that.

It's well documented his shell companies own said property. Newsmax and telegraph telegram won't tell you that. Lolling
Topic of trump seeing a Jail cell. America would be better off. Neither trump nor Biden will see a cell..
But trumpf would flee to Russia before it were to happen so to me 26 is irrelevant

Typo my culo but keep clinging to that thought. Snick snick. And Tiny I wonder how many are willing to lay down some $$ on Trump fleeing to Russia? WD probably already placed his bet I am sure

Tiny · 08-03-2023, 09:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golferguy55

Typo my culo but keep clinging to that thought. Snick snick. And Tiny I wonder how many are willing to lay down some $$ on Trump fleeing to Russia? WD probably already placed his bet I am sure

Goodness Golfer Guy, with the odds betonline is offering, I can't imagine there are many betting on a Trump departure. That would imply a 2.5% probability Trump goes to Russia. That looks way high to me.

On the other hand, the other side of the bet looks even worse. I don't exactly know how these betting sites work. But if you put up $20,000, and the bookie sits on the money for the next year and a half, until the bet is settled in 2025, then he'll collect about $1400 in interest income. And only have to pay the punter $100 if he wins!

Screw betting based on partisanship. I'd rather be like the bookie and get the juice!

golferguy55 · 08-03-2023, 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tiny

Goodness Golfer Guy, with the odds betonline is offering, I can't imagine there are many betting on a Trump departure. That would imply a 2.5% probability Trump goes to Russia. That looks way high to me.

On the other hand, the other side of the bet looks even worse. I don't exactly know how these betting sites work. But if you put up $20,000, and the bookie sits on the money for the next year and a half, until the bet is settled in 2025, then he'll collect about $1400 in interest income. And only have to pay the punter $100 if he wins!

Screw betting based on partisanship. I'd rather be like the bookie and get the juice!

LMFAO so true Tiny but to listen to WDthe odds of Trump bolting to Russia are enormous. I am sure that WD probably has half of his paycheck going to this for the next 2 years or so. But to stay on point they will probably convict Trump on something but highly doubtful he will do any jail time.

DNinja69 · 08-03-2023, 09:44 PM

I there there is a canyon sized gap between being able to convict a former President and actually locking one up. On a money bet I would take 'plea deal to avoid jail time' as the most likely outcome. Unless he gets caught on camera digging a hole trying to bury a dead hooker I think the next Republican in the White House pardons him anyway

Lucas McCain · 08-03-2023, 10:05 PM

Some of you folks really need to learn how to chill. This is a lighthearted thread.

Try as the government may, we all know Trump's old fat orange ass is not going to jail. That narcissistic shithead would kill himself before that ever happened. And IMO, he has done nothing to deserve any jail time.

ICU 812 · 08-04-2023, 05:42 AM

It is my belief that if Mr. Trump is the Republican's nominee; it will energize the Democrat's base and encourage all methods of inflating the liberal vote by fair means or foul.

However, if Mr. Trump is not the nominee (for whatever reason) whichever Republicans are on the ticket for president and VP will look like reasonable adults with something meaningful to say, and both Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris will look to be the ineffective clowns that they are.

The effect will be felt on the centrist-undecided voters. If Mr. Trump is in the running, they will go Democrat. If Mr. Trump is out of it, the Centrist-Undecideds will go Republican. . . .and that swing, one way or the othr will decide the election.