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Reload this Page Predictit.org: Winner of 2020 Presidential Election will probably be a white male
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Old 03-13-2019, 08:48 PM   #1
Tiny
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Default Predictit.org: Winner of 2020 Presidential Election will probably be a white male
Here are latest probabilities of who will win what, derived from the betting site predictit.org. People who bet actually risk their own money. So those of us who believe in capitalism and free markets should trust this more than the polls.

Who will be 2020 Democratic presidential nominee?

Joe Biden 25%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Beto O'Rourke 19%
Kamala Harris 15%
Andrew Yang 9%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Cory Booker 6%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Hillary Clinton 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%

Who the hell is Andrew Yang?

Those alone add up to 116% without adding in the one percenters, so there'd be some kind of arbitrage opportunity here if there were no transaction costs.



Who will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Donald Trump 35%
Joe Biden 20%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Beto O'Rourke 14%
Kamala Harris 10%


Who will control the Senate after 2020?

Republicans 66%
Democrats 36%


Who will control the Senate after 2020?

Democratics 72%
Republicans 29%
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Old 03-13-2019, 09:06 PM   #2
winn dixie
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IMO the democratic nominee percentages look pretty accurate. I think Trump will win but it will be closer than those percentages show. imo
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Old 03-13-2019, 09:40 PM   #3
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you don't know who Andrew Yang is???

that is just sad. he worked with Dr. Martin Luther King, and was UN Ambassador under President Carter!


oh wait..

that was Andrew Young

the stats are meaningless this early.. everyone remembers Biden and Sanders going back 30 years.. the other names are fresh by comparison.. in 4 months these numbers will look much different.
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Old 03-13-2019, 10:03 PM   #4
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Im open minded on this. I don't really have an opinion on any of the candidates yet. I think all the candidates listed will have a good clean fight
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Old 03-13-2019, 10:18 PM   #5
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I’d say Trump at 35% is also pretty plausible.

That is, if he’s not busting rocks.
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Old 03-13-2019, 10:24 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chung Tran View Post
you don't know who Andrew Yang is???

that is just sad. he worked with Dr. Martin Luther King, and was UN Ambassador under President Carter!


oh wait..

that was Andrew Young

the stats are meaningless this early.. everyone remembers Biden and Sanders going back 30 years.. the other names are fresh by comparison.. in 4 months these numbers will look much different.
Chung I cant believe you don't know Andrew Yang. His Brother Ying and him have been major players in the Asian community for centuries
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Old 03-14-2019, 02:08 AM   #7
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Originally Posted by Yssup Rider View Post
I’d say Trump at 35% is also pretty plausible.

That is, if he’s not busting rocks.
I'm sure he would enjoy busting your rocks...
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Old 03-14-2019, 07:36 AM   #8
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BREAKING NEWS!!!!!!

Robert "Tear-Down-Those-Walls" Francis O'Rourke is IN!

Did he just blow past Mr Wang....uhhh, Ying.....Yang's....numbers!?!? !

Surely the race for the Dimmtards ahs been flipped onto it's collective head! Call Wolf and get him into the Situation Room!!!

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Old 03-14-2019, 07:55 AM   #9
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The Irish Mexican is backkkkkk
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Old 03-14-2019, 08:47 AM   #10
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I'm sure he would enjoy busting your rocks...
Nice. How about you, tough guy?
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Old 03-14-2019, 09:16 AM   #11
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You're not worth the time of day.
I get joy by rattling your cage.
Why don't you RTM Wakeup!!
Oh wait Wakeup can't help you...tough guy
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Old 03-14-2019, 09:26 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by bb1961 View Post
You're not worth the time of day.
Why don't you RTM Wakeup!!
Oh wait Wakeup can't help you...tough guy
Get back to your Pajama Party bb. As the Lama says, adults are talking. Have fun at your "slumber party"
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Old 03-14-2019, 09:27 AM   #13
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Beto or Biden are my guys. If they teamed up they would win
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Old 03-14-2019, 09:42 AM   #14
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Originally Posted by themystic View Post
Beto or Biden are my guys. If they teamed up they would win
That combo would be a Dream Come True.....for TRUMP-PENCE 2020!!! Woo hoo!!!
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Old 03-14-2019, 10:15 AM   #15
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Originally Posted by Chateau Becot View Post
That combo would be a Dream Come True.....for TRUMP-PENCE 2020!!! Woo hoo!!!
I would take that bet. Thinks arent going to well for the Trump Show CB
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