Trump approval jumps ahead of Odumbo’s midterm approval rating

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Just think how positive those stories would be if he put country before president!

Nobody likes a bully.

Bullies never win.

Fact.

hahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!



you obviously don't know history. bullies have won!

[Yssup Rider]

In 2016 yes, but we'll soon see how wrong you were.

[NiceGuy53]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

None of the prognosticators are predicting Menendez to fall in N.J. At one point in time it was considered a toss-up race but now is not even "Lean Democrat". It is "Likely Democrat". Yes, it is likely Heitkamp and O'Rourke will lose, but Democrats are leading in most of the toss-up states (Arizona, Florida, Montana, Indiana, Missouri) with only Nevada as a 50-50 state at this time.

My bet is Republicans maintain the 51-49 majority after the November elections.

According to the Real Clear Politics average of surveys, Democrats are not leading in Arizona and Missouri as you claim. The Republicans have a very small lead in those states. Currently, they are projecting that the Republicans will gain a net pick up of 2 Senate seats. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep..._toss_ups.html

[mad469s]

Originally Posted by Jackie S

Just think. President Obama had 95% positive news stories for eight years. President Trump has has 98% negative news coverage since he announced he was running.

Just think if President Trump just had a smidgen of Press support that President Obama had where he would be.

Of course Obama had 95% positive news stories and the Trumpster has 98% negative. WHO CONTROLS THE MEDIA??? THE FUCKIN DEMONCRATS DO.....
As far as Trump having any "news support", what do you think is keeping CNN in business these days.

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by NiceGuy53

According to the Real Clear Politics average of surveys, Democrats are not leading in Arizona and Missouri as you claim. The Republicans have a very small lead in those states. Currently, they are projecting that the Republicans will gain a net pick up of 2 Senate seats. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep..._toss_ups.html

The main source of information I use is FiveThirtyEight which has Democrats leading in Arizona and Missouri. But certainly not by much. Indiana and Florida are also not certain Democratic victories.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...idterms-header

You are correct that RealClearPolitics has the Republican candidates ahead in both Arizona and Missouri, but by the skin of their teeth.

I've said all along that I expect Republicans to hold the 51-49 margin in the Senate or maybe add one more seat. It all depends on voter turnout.

BTW, even though every group such as RealClearPolitics, FiveThirtyEight, Politico, and others have Democrats taking over control of the House, there are so many toss-up races that all could be wrong.

[NiceGuy53]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

The main source of information I use is FiveThirtyEight which has Democrats leading in Arizona and Missouri. But certainly not by much. Indiana and Florida are also not certain Democratic victories.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...idterms-header

You are correct that RealClearPolitics has the Republican candidates ahead in both Arizona and Missouri, but by the skin of their teeth.

I've said all along that I expect Republicans to hold the 51-49 margin in the Senate or maybe add one more seat. It all depends on voter turnout.

BTW, even though every group such as RealClearPolitics, FiveThirtyEight, Politico, and others have Democrats taking over control of the House, there are so many toss-up races that all could be wrong.

Yeah, that's what I thought you were looking at (538). My problem with them is the way they take other polls and adjust them to some subjective trend line or "house effects" as they call them. And they always seem to adjust polls showing a favorable Republican outcome down more than they adjust polls showing a favorable Democrat outcome up. But you stick with them and I will stick with the RCP average and we will see who is right.

I tend to agree with your last statement. All the polls could be wrong. If the election were held today, the Republicans would probably lose the House and pick up 1 or 2 seats in the Senate. But who knows what could happen in 2 weeks.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by I B Hankering

Trump's numbers are high enough to believe that the Republicans will probably pick up one or two seats in the Senate. Goodbye, Ginsberg! Hello, Barrett!

You are assuming that Ginsberg will retire/die before 2020....when the Senate could flip back. Wet dreaming on your part.

Again....how did the Dems do in the House in 2010?

[SpeedRacerXXX]

Originally Posted by NiceGuy53

Yeah, that's what I thought you were looking at (538). My problem with them is the way they take other polls and adjust them to some subjective trend line or "house effects" as they call them. And they always seem to adjust polls showing a favorable Republican outcome down more than they adjust polls showing a favorable Democrat outcome up. But you stick with them and I will stick with the RCP average and we will see who is right.

I tend to agree with your last statement. All the polls could be wrong. If the election were held today, the Republicans would probably lose the House and pick up 1 or 2 seats in the Senate. But who knows what could happen in 2 weeks.

Well said!!

[WTF]

I agree...we will not no the results until after the election!

[I B Hankering]

Originally Posted by WTF

You are assuming that Ginsberg will retire/die before 2020....when the Senate could flip back. Wet dreaming on your part.

Again....how did the Dems do in the House in 2010?

This ain't 2010, and Trump is more popular Odumbo.

[WTF]

Originally Posted by I B Hankering

This ain't 2010, and Trump is more popular Odumbo.

Yes, it is 2018.

Did you even read the article you linked?

Overall, the poll found Democrats with a 9-point lead over Republicans in the battle for congressional control. Fifty percent of likely voters said they want Congress to flip to the Democrats while 41 percent said they want Republicans to retain majorities.

[gfejunkie]

Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

The main source of information I use is FiveThirtyEight

Why? Like they were soooo accurate the last time...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/

[WTF]

Originally Posted by gfejunkie

Why? Like they were soooo accurate the last time...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/

Exactly...so wtf was the point of this thread?

Oh the irony...

[I B Hankering]

Originally Posted by WTF

Yes, it is 2018.

Did you even read the article you linked?

Overall, the poll found Democrats with a 9-point lead over Republicans in the battle for congressional control. Fifty percent of likely voters said they want Congress to flip to the Democrats while 41 percent said they want Republicans to retain majorities.

The ones who say they want to flip Congress don't even know what bathroom they're supposed to use. Words and actions are two separate matters.
Trumps approval rating and Kavanaugh are animating Republicans to go to the polls.

[Austin Ellen]

Uh Uh - don't be so sure about Ginsberg lasting till 2020.

Originally Posted by WTF

You are assuming that Ginsberg will retire/die before 2020....when the Senate could flip back. Wet dreaming on your part.

Again....how did the Dems do in the House in 2010?