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Originally Posted by TexTushHog
As for your article, it is for subscribers only, apparently.
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Sorry 'bout that! I didn't realize access was limited to subscribers.
But it's also on yahoo:
http://news.yahoo.com/keynes-221201285.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by TexTushHog
Yes, there are serious structural issues in the economy. But we need to get closer to the full employment we had in 2007 before we can adequately address them.
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I think you have that exactly backwards. We need to demonstrate at least some modicum of credibility that we're making progress toward meaningfully addressing structural issues before there will be much of a chance that we'll see much in the way of recovery or job creation.
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Originally Posted by TexTushHog
If it had been big enough, it would have come much closer to doing that.
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Good grief!
It was about $850 billion, far more than any other fiscal stimulus attempt in the nation's history. How big do you think it should have been?
What if we had doubled down and made it $1.7 trillion? Since it did very little good, what's 2X very little good? "Still not a whole lot" is probably the best answer.
My basic point is that we should have at least spent the money on something we need, or that we will eventually have to spend money on anyway. We do have significant infrastructure needs that should be addressed in ways other than allowing political hacks to pass out money to favored constituents (as in cases like Solyndra). We would be much better off if we had spent a fraction of $860 billion, but wisely rather than ineffectively.
A much better way to spend a few hundred billion would be to convert several million 18-wheelers to natural gas. I understand that the cost would be roughly $60K per truck. The conversions would be done by domestic engine plants, so Americans would be put to work directly. This, together with building the requisite natural gas fueling infrastructure would also be a far better "jobs program" than anything being discussed by any of today's political hacks.
This investment would also save the trucking firms big money over time, since the cost of CNG is a fraction of the cost of diesel. Therefore, they would have big incentives to participate in any such conversion programs by investing some of their own capital. With recent discoveries of shale gas, we have several times more reserves than we thought just a few years ago. Gas prices lately have dropped to well below $4/mcf.
This would also significantly reduce the demand for imported oil, thus taking a step toward addressing one of the structural issues to which I alluded earlier.
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Originally Posted by CuteOldGuy
Let me get this straight. We need to spend more money, which we need to borrow from China, among others, in order to improve the economy and reduce the debt...
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And what if the Chinese (and others) lose their appetite for U.S. Treasury notes, bills, and bonds? No worries! We'll just have the Fed increase its balance sheet by a few trillion more dollars and monetize endlessly. We've already had QE and QE2. How about QE3, QE4, QE5, and QE6?
What could possibly go wrong?