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06-07-2020, 07:36 AM
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#16
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Biden is merely embracing the concept of mailing ballots.
2020 will most likely be the first National election ever in which there were more "Black votes" cast than the total population of the Black people in the United States of America ... including those not qualified to vote.
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06-07-2020, 07:37 AM
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#17
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
Trump's approval rating is now -12.3%.
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Interesting!
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...roval-ratings/
(Just a quick search getting a CURRENT summary!)
Does a Minus APPROVAL RATING sound better than 42%?
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06-07-2020, 07:46 AM
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#18
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2016 County by County Map
Join Date: Dec 13, 2009
Location: There now. Not here.
Posts: 4,378
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
I'm interested in your "opinion" as to why you think Trump is a certain victor in November. Unlike you, I will respect your opinion.
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Because Trump can string two sentences together.
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06-07-2020, 07:46 AM
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#19
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 24, 2014
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 3,267
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
Trump's approval rating is now -12.3%. No POTUS seeking reelection has ever won with a negative approval rating.
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Are you just spewing cherry picked numbers again? Those statement taken together as you just did, don't mean anything.
If you can show "No POTUS seeking reelection has ever won with a negative approval rating at this time in their term before relection", then you are onto something.
Otherwise you are stringing together two unrelated statements to try and play some point.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LexusLover
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Yes, as I just noted, he loves to twist and turn the way statistics are presented to make his position look better. Even though at this point, it still remains basically irrelevant. Come back in October for numbers that will be more meaningful.
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06-07-2020, 08:04 AM
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#20
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: Georgetown, Texas
Posts: 9,256
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eccielover
Are you just spewing cherry picked numbers again? Those statement taken together as you just did, don't mean anything.
If you can show "No POTUS seeking reelection has ever won with a negative approval rating at this time in their term before relection", then you are onto something.
Otherwise you are stringing together two unrelated statements to try and play some point.
Yes, as I just noted, he loves to twist and turn the way statistics are presented to make his psition look better. Even though at this point, it still remains basically irrelevant. Come back in October for numbers that will be resmeaningful.
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I do not "cherry-pick" numbers. I use FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics which average together ALL polls done by ALL polling companies. The average by those 2 sources is -12.3% and -10.8% respectively, with both sources showing a significant drop in Trump's ratings over the past few weeks. If I was to cherry-pick, I would cite a poll by Morning Consult which has Trump at -23% approval rating.
No POTUS has won reelection with a negative approval rating. That is fact. Trump currently has a negative approval rating. That is fact. You have to go back almost a solid moth to find any poll in which Trump is positive in ANY poll on approval ratings.
At no time have I said Trump's approval rating will be negative on November 3rd. I believe it will be but we shall see. I have also stated several times that if any POTUS could win with a negative approval rating, it would be Trump.
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06-07-2020, 08:06 AM
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#21
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: Georgetown, Texas
Posts: 9,256
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gfejunkie
Because Trump can string two sentences together.
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And can you point to ANYTHING which shows that Biden's gaffes have cost him a single vote?
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06-07-2020, 08:15 AM
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#22
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: dallas
Posts: 23,345
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As Calvin says - Vote - and Vote often to defeat trump in favor of the racist with dementia who defines The "black race"
and - Biden will get 104% of black voters.
particularly after DPST city/state administration condone and encourage looting and rioting as not Vioence - which affects many black homes and businesses.
if "Black Lives matter" - Why do the DPST's condone rioting, looting, and killing of many black people ( including a retired black police chief) as "justified and legal protest."????
People are not dumb - regardless of Race - they will see the enablers of the Violence inflicted predominantly on the Black population - orchestrated by the DPST's!
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06-07-2020, 08:27 AM
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#23
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 24, 2014
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 3,267
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
I do not "cherry-pick" numbers. I use FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics which average together ALL polls done by ALL polling companies. The average by those 2 sources is -12.3% and -10.8% respectively, with both sources showing a significant drop in Trump's ratings over the past few weeks. If I was to cherry-pick, I would cite a poll by Morning Consult which has Trump at -23% approval rating.
No POTUS has won reelection with a negative approval rating. That is fact. Trump currently has a negative approval rating. That is fact. You have to go back almost a solid moth to find any poll in which Trump is positive in ANY poll on approval ratings.
At no time have I said Trump's approval rating will be negative on November 3rd. I believe it will be but we shall see. I have also stated several times that if any POTUS could win with a negative approval rating, it would be Trump.
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Again, you are playing basically with numbers at this point.
Both GW Bush and Obama had just squeaked on 50% approval ratings at their reelections. GW reasonably close to 50% during the entire year of his reelection, while Obama was closer to 45% for most of the year leading up to reelection and on only jumping to 50% right before.
Trump is sitting about 42% where Obama was at 46% at similar times. Well within the margin of error of the polling.
And if you are looking historically, Trump's favorability according to RCP was -21% at about a 37% favorability rating and he won the election.
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06-07-2020, 08:29 AM
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#24
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BANNED
Join Date: Feb 17, 2018
Location: Ok
Posts: 4,288
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Yes 104 to 105 a I gussing some get vote twice.
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06-07-2020, 08:40 AM
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#25
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Dec 31, 2009
Location: dallas
Posts: 23,345
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Do 'Black Votes count More"?????
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06-07-2020, 09:17 AM
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#26
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2016 County by County Map
Join Date: Dec 13, 2009
Location: There now. Not here.
Posts: 4,378
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
And can you point to ANYTHING which shows that Biden's gaffes have cost him a single vote?
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Right back atcha. Trump's base has not changed one iota. The ones who supported him in 2016 still do. The #WALKAWAYs have only added to that.
Anyone with 96+% approval by their own party can't lose.
Trump will win in another electoral college landslide.
Fuck your damned biased polls.
By September Graham/Durham/Barr may have Biden indicted for his participation in the coup against the President anyway. Stay tuned...
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06-07-2020, 09:47 AM
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#27
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BANNED
Join Date: Feb 17, 2018
Location: Ok
Posts: 4,288
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.
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06-07-2020, 09:49 AM
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#28
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BANNED
Join Date: Feb 17, 2018
Location: Ok
Posts: 4,288
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oeb11
Do 'Black Votes count More"?????
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Yes yes
Yes because steel you white grandma vote. There steel you vote
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06-07-2020, 09:50 AM
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#29
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
I do not "cherry-pick" numbers.
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Of course, you do! Any numbers that agree with YOUR assessment.
Remember Trump was "8" points behind HillariousNoMore in 2016? Was he "minus 8" then?
You snapped on it like a hungry carp!
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06-07-2020, 09:52 AM
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#30
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
And can you point to ANYTHING which shows that Biden's gaffes have cost him a single vote?
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I can! I'm not going to vote for Biden.
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