The Election Games! What will the margin of victory be?

[TheDaliLama]

Originally Posted by TheDaliLama

If the election has no fraud…However there are a lot of libtard attorney generals who will do everything they can to not certify Trump. After all he’s Hitler.


Harris 226 Trump 312.


Down goes Harris
Down goes Harris
Down goes Harris

I’m from the future.

[The_Waco_Kid]

Originally Posted by Tiny

Based on betting on Polymarket for individual states, Trump would win with an 86 point electoral edge, same as predicted by Dali Lama and The Waco Kid! Who would have thought!

This potentially looks like the 2020 COVID death guess game, where Adav8s28 went out on a limb and won with a guess of over 1.5 million deaths.

Here are implied probabilities in some individual states, in favor of Trump at the current moment:

Pennsylvania: 87.7%
Wisconsin: 86.5%
Michigan: 78.3%
Arizona 88.2%
Nevada 79%
Georgia 97.1%
North Carolina 96.7%

Overall the punters are giving Trump a 90.1% probability of a win.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDaliLama
If the election has no fraud…However there are a lot of libtard attorney generals who will do everything they can to not certify Trump. After all he’s Hitler.


Harris 226 Trump 312.


Down goes Harris
Down goes Harris
Down goes Harris

Originally Posted by TheDaliLama

I’m from the future.

so when do we get our participation trophies for being right?


bahahahahahhaaa

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

so when do we get our participation trophies for being right?

This is a whore board Waco Kid. The appropriate award would be to get you a whore. However, with FOSTA, SESTA, the Mann Act, and State Jail Felonies for seeing providers, that's just not doable. You will have to be content in the knowledge that you not only bested your fellow board members, fair and square, but also that you hit the nail on the head or came pretty damn close to it.

Congratulations!

[farmstud60]

I said plus 42 on Electoral College, which I meant over 270 needed so I got it right too at 312 total.


Population I was too small, but most predicted Harris would win population.

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by farmstud60

I said plus 42 on Electoral College, which I meant over 270 needed so I got it right too at 312 total.


Population I was too small, but most predicted Harris would win population.

Originally Posted by farmstud60

Predictions


1. Trump wins with roughly 290 Electoral College votes
2. Trump wins popular vote by half a percent
3.Senate I will give Republicans 52 to 48 win and regain control
4. House I think remains Republican by 5 to 10 seats.

I got the 42 vote margin by assuming 290 Republican votes and 248 Democrat votes, adding up to 538 electors.

You'll be the undisputed winner of the Senate prediction. Good call on Osborn/Fischer too. As you predicted, it was close, maybe the closest Senate race where a Republican won.

[Tiny]

I am calling winners in two contests.

The Dali Lama and The Waco Kid win the Electoral Vote Contest! They predicted the outcome exactly!

FarmStud gets honorable mention. He would have tied if not for a math error.

In the Senate contest, FarmStud is the winner! SpeedRacer gets honorable mention. SpeedRacer predicted the result would be 51 Repubs/49 Dems or 52 Repubs/48 Dems. If he'd just predicted the later result, he would have tied FarmStud.

Congrats to the winners!

[winn dixie]

Due to obvious cheating and fraud by trumpfs henchmen . These results are tainted! No winners in this contest

[adav8s28]

Originally Posted by winn dixie

Due to obvious cheating and fraud by trumpfs henchmen . These results are tainted! No winners in this contest

I don't know if there was any cheating in this election. There are definitely two differences between this election and the 2020 election.

1. Less people voted in the 2024 election in both political parties. For the Democrats there were 15 million less voters. For the Republicans there were 5 million less voters.

2. In the 2024 election, there were more Republicans that voted than Democrats by a couple of million voters. In the prior three elections more Democrats voted than Republicans.

Just take a look at the Zero Hodge election chart posted by Texassapper.


https://www.eccie.net/showthread.php?t=3009526

[farmstud60]

Originally Posted by winn dixie

Due to obvious cheating and fraud by trumpfs henchmen . These results are tainted! No winners in this contest

Nope, the margin of victory greater than error potential. No issue


Not to mention that both parties had better control and observations in place

[The_Waco_Kid]

Originally Posted by Tiny

I am calling winners in two contests.

The Dali Lama and The Waco Kid win the Electoral Vote Contest! They predicted the outcome exactly!

FarmStud gets honorable mention. He would have tied if not for a math error.

In the Senate contest, FarmStud is the winner! SpeedRacer gets honorable mention. SpeedRacer predicted the result would be 51 Repubs/49 Dems or 52 Repubs/48 Dems. If he'd just predicted the later result, he would have tied FarmStud.

Congrats to the winners!

i TWK humbly gloat over my co-pick of a landslide by Lord Emperor Donald Trump and will give this worthless whoreboard title the lack of respect it doesn't deserve.


bahahahahahaa

Originally Posted by adav8s28

I don't know if there was any cheating in this election. There are definitely two differences between this election and the 2020 election.

1. Less people voted in the 2024 election in both political parties. For the Democrats there were 15 million less voters. For the Republicans there were 5 million less voters.

2. In the 2024 election, there were more Republicans that voted than Democrats by a couple of million voters. In the prior three elections more Democrats voted than Republicans.

Just take a look at the Zero Hodge election chart posted by Texassapper.


https://www.eccie.net/showthread.php?t=3009526

texassapper's thread is about vaporware voters. unless 15 million voters for Biden in 2020 against Evil Lord Trump decided not to vote against Hitler/Trump because Harris was the alternative?


was not Harris hand picked a DEI VP by Biden and his dealio with Jim Clyburn? was Harris NOT the sane alternative to "EVIL FASCIST TRUMP"?


nonsense. 15 million voters don't just disappear unless they didn't exist in the first place.

[winn dixie]

Sorry tiny. Due to fraud there can be no winner in this contest. Those millions of voters don't just dissappear without burning of drop boxes! Ohh wait that DID HAPPEN.

So no winner can be called in your contest.

[adav8s28]

Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

15 million voters don't just disappear unless they didn't exist in the first place.

There was a lot less of "Mail in voting" in 2024 than in 2020. No way to rig 15 million votes. Plus there were 5 million less Republican voters in 2024 than in 2020. Are you trying to say the 5 million more Republican votes in 2020 were rigged too? In the 2020 election both political parties had more voters.

Yes, Biden cut a deal with Clyburn. If Clyburn delivered the state of South Carolina in the democratic primaries for Biden, then Biden would pick a qualified woman of color on the ticket if he got the nomination. Biden held up his end of the deal.

Harris was hardly a DEI choice. The law school she went to was ranked 40 positions higher than the one Mike Pence went to. I thought you republicans were big on advanced degrees and going to the best schools. If Harris is DEI, then Mike Pence would have to be called DEI.

According to 60 Minutes on CBS, Trump spent 143 million on transgender ads alone. It worked Trump won Penn by 1% of the vote. Trump won North Carolina and Georgia by 2% of the vote.

[The_Waco_Kid]

Originally Posted by adav8s28

There was a lot less of "Mail in voting" in 2024 than in 2020. No way to rig 15 million votes. Plus there were 5 million less Republican voters in 2024 than in 2020. Are you trying to say the 5 million more Republican votes in 2020 were rigged too? In the 2020 election both political parties had more voters.

Yes, Biden cut a deal with Clyburn. If Clyburn delivered the state of South Carolina in the democratic primaries for Biden, then Biden would pick a qualified woman of color on the ticket if he got the nomination. Biden held up his end of the deal.

Harris was hardly a DEI choice. The law school she went to was ranked 40 positions higher than the one Mike Pence went to. I thought you republicans were big on advanced degrees and going to the best schools. If Harris is DEI, then Mike Pence would have to be called DEI.

According to 60 Minutes on CBS, Trump spent 143 million on transgender ads alone. It worked Trump won Penn by 1% of the vote. Trump won North Carolina and Georgia by 2% of the vote.

what didn't work is a "Trump is a FASCIST" ask yourself why?



bahahahhaha

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by winn dixie

Sorry tiny. Due to fraud there can be no winner in this contest. Those millions of voters don't just dissappear without burning of drop boxes! Ohh wait that DID HAPPEN.

So no winner can be called in your contest.

You're confusing 2020 with 2024 Winn Dixie. There were no fraudulent votes cast in 2024.

But in 2020, 4,835,062 illegal immigrants and another 5,232,564 dead people voted, every one of them for Biden! Then there were the mules! Yes, there are over 300,000 mules in the country! The Amish, Democrats to a man, use them to till soil. And every damn one of the mules voted for Biden too! All told, Biden pocketed about 10,600,000 fraudulent votes in 2020! If it weren't for those, Trump would have won in 2020 with about the same 3.5 million margin he's winning by this year. This explains those charts you've been seeing with a lot more Democratic voters in 2020 compared to past years!

Anyway I will not have you impugn my contest. The contestants won fair and square.

[TravelingHere]

Originally Posted by adav8s28

... Plus there were 5 million less Republican voters in 2024 than in 2020. Are you trying to say the 5 million more Republican votes in 2020 were rigged too? In the 2020 election both political parties had more voters. ...

Not so!

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/pre...ection-numbers