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09-18-2024, 02:34 PM
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#31
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 21, 2011
Location: Bonerville
Posts: 5,981
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[QUOTE=bambino;1063591491]
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyecu2
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FiveThirtyEight, the handicapping outlet Silver founded in 2008 and left earlier this year, seems to see a more heated contest unfolding, giving Harris a 56% chance of winning and Trump a 43% chance. Likewise, DecisionDeskHQ’s current model gives Harris a 54% chance of winning the presidency.
Further--
Social media users have criticized his employment at Polymarket, a political betting site that has received significant investment from conservative billionaire Peter Thiel, who has personal and professional connections to the Republican vice presidential nominee, J.D. Vance. He’s also received praise from Trump himself, which probably hasn’t helped the perception that his forecast is biased toward Republicans.
Apparently you didn't read the content which is contested by all cept the political betting communities that Silver now serves.
Pretty sure it's a case of not biting the hand that feeds him. It's silvers conclusions that are not based on any modelling vs. Trying to create a self fulfilling conclusion.
If you poll it they will vote it mentality, won't win any election.
Doesn't that make you pause and say, I wonder why he would be a total outsider of the 538 community since LEAVING 538??
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09-18-2024, 02:40 PM
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#32
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 21, 2011
Location: Bonerville
Posts: 5,981
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[QUOTE=bambino;1063591491]
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyecu2
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FiveThirtyEight, the handicapping outlet Silver founded in 2008 and left earlier this year, seems to see a more heated contest unfolding, giving Harris a 56% chance of winning and Trump a 43% chance. Likewise, DecisionDeskHQ’s current model gives Harris a 54% chance of winning the presidency.
Further--
Social media users have criticized his employment at Polymarket, a political betting site that has received significant investment from conservative billionaire Peter Thiel, who has personal and professional connections to the Republican vice presidential nominee, J.D. Vance. He’s also received praise from Trump himself, which probably hasn’t helped the perception that his forecast is biased toward Republicans.
Apparently you didn't read the content which is contested by all cept the political betting communities that Silver now serves.
Pretty sure it's a case of not biting the hand that feeds him. It's silvers conclusions that are not based on any modelling vs. Trying to create a self fulfilling conclusion.
If you poll it they will vote it mentality, won't win any election.
Doesn't that make you pause and say, I wonder why he would change his methods of polling be a total conservative outsider of the middle road 538 community, only since LEAVING 538??
Almost as if he sold the Silver name of reliable and realistic polling results to Garner larger betting spreads for investor political speculation.
Kinda like buying the betting sheet on the ponies, but working for the bookie.
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| 2 users liked this post
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09-18-2024, 05:59 PM
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#34
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 7, 2010
Location: Dive Bar
Posts: 42,897
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[QUOTE=eyecu2;1063592235]
Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino
FiveThirtyEight, the handicapping outlet Silver founded in 2008 and left earlier this year, seems to see a more heated contest unfolding, giving Harris a 56% chance of winning and Trump a 43% chance. Likewise, DecisionDeskHQ’s current model gives Harris a 54% chance of winning the presidency.
Further--
Social media users have criticized his employment at Polymarket, a political betting site that has received significant investment from conservative billionaire Peter Thiel, who has personal and professional connections to the Republican vice presidential nominee, J.D. Vance. He’s also received praise from Trump himself, which probably hasn’t helped the perception that his forecast is biased toward Republicans.
Apparently you didn't read the content which is contested by all cept the political betting communities that Silver now serves.
Pretty sure it's a case of not biting the hand that feeds him. It's silvers conclusions that are not based on any modelling vs. Trying to create a self fulfilling conclusion.
If you poll it they will vote it mentality, won't win any election.
Doesn't that make you pause and say, I wonder why he would change his methods of polling be a total conservative outsider of the middle road 538 community, only since LEAVING 538??
Almost as if he sold the Silver name of reliable and realistic polling results to Garner larger betting spreads for investor political speculation.
Kinda like buying the betting sheet on the ponies, but working for the bookie.
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Yeah Eye, ABC News(Disney) replaced him. The same cockroaches that rigged the debate. They can’t have a pollster telling the truth. He has a new company now.
BAHAHAHA
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| 1 user liked this post
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09-18-2024, 06:57 PM
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#35
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Premium Access
Join Date: Sep 2, 2022
Location: Pittsburgh PA
Posts: 4,115
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Does it ever occur to trumpers that not everything is RIGGED against him?
The majority of Americans hate the fucking traitor. And he's a senile moron. He's going to lose again. And if he ever runs again, he'll lose then too. He's a losing loser who loses. Shit isn't rigged; he's just not very popular or smart.
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09-18-2024, 07:03 PM
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#36
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 7, 2010
Location: Dive Bar
Posts: 42,897
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommy156
Does it ever occur to trumpers that not everything is RIGGED against him?
The majority of Americans hate the fucking traitor. And he's a senile moron. He's going to lose again. And if he ever runs again, he'll lose then too. He's a losing loser who loses. Shit isn't rigged; he's just not very popular or smart.
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What you don’t realize, it’s rigged against you too. I guess you’re oblivious to inflation, crime, and war. But you obviously support those things.
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09-18-2024, 07:06 PM
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#37
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Premium Access
Join Date: Sep 2, 2022
Location: Pittsburgh PA
Posts: 4,115
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino
What you don’t realize, it’s rigged against you too. I guess you’re oblivious to inflation, crime, and war. But you obviously support those things.
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Lol. Nothing is rigged. He fucking lost in 2020, and he'll be losing again this year. It's not "rigged" just because the majority of Americans disagree with you. trump will lose because he's a horrible piece of shit traitor, not because of the "deep state" or whatever the fuck else he blames his problems on.
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09-18-2024, 07:08 PM
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#38
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 7, 2010
Location: Dive Bar
Posts: 42,897
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommy156
Lol. Nothing is rigged. He fucking lost in 2020, and he'll be losing again this year. It's not "rigged" just because the majority of Americans disagree with you.
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He’ll win a fair election.
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| 1 user liked this post
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09-18-2024, 07:09 PM
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#39
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Premium Access
Join Date: Sep 2, 2022
Location: Pittsburgh PA
Posts: 4,115
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino
No they don’t. 60% think it was rigged.
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60% of Republicans, maybe. NOT 60% of Americans.
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09-18-2024, 07:13 PM
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#40
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 7, 2010
Location: Dive Bar
Posts: 42,897
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommy156
60% of Republicans, maybe. NOT 60% of Americans.
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Actually 70% of Republicans
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| 1 user liked this post
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09-18-2024, 07:16 PM
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#43
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Premium Access
Join Date: Sep 2, 2022
Location: Pittsburgh PA
Posts: 4,115
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino
He’ll win a fair election.
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Lol. He's going to lose his 2nd straight fair election. Then his problems will just be getting started.
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09-18-2024, 07:30 PM
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#44
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jul 7, 2010
Location: Dive Bar
Posts: 42,897
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommy156
Lol. He's going to lose his 2nd straight fair election. Then his problems will just be getting started.
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U wanna bet Tommy?
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| 1 user liked this post
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09-19-2024, 09:33 AM
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#45
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Premium Access
Join Date: Sep 2, 2022
Location: Pittsburgh PA
Posts: 4,115
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bambino
U wanna bet Tommy?
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Bet what? No, I'm not meeting you face to face.
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