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The Political Forum Discuss anything related to politics in this forum. World politics, US Politics, State and Local.

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Old 08-09-2020, 04:30 PM   #31
SpeedRacerXXX
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Originally Posted by Unique_Carpenter View Post
Any poll, or any sample for that matter, with a less than 5% margin are all within the statistical rule of margin for error. more so unless the sample (# of folks talked to) is millions, or at lease hundreds of thousands.
Which means the sample/poll are worthless.
Then if you add in that most polls are carefully constructed, then the results are worse than worthless.
But these polls all showing that trump is catching up is amusing. Was he ever actually behind? Are the pollsters covering their azzes now so they get more funding in a few years? This is getting entertaining from several perspectives.
Quite incorrect. There were 2 polls released today on 538. Biden leads in Wisconsin by 6% with a 3.7% margin or error. 994 likely voters. Same lead in Pa. with same margin of error. 1,211 likely voters. I checked about 10 recent surveys and the margin of error for the most part was in the 3-4% range. None higher than 5%.

As far as "most polls are carefully constructed" I challenge you to go out to FiveThirtyEight and look at the methodology used and the questions used and show me bias.

It is difficult to say whether or not polls 86 days from the election are 100% accurate or garbage. They show Trump behind in the suburbs, especially among women, so is it coincidence that much of his campaign ads are aimed EXACTLY at that demographic?
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Old 08-09-2020, 04:32 PM   #32
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Originally Posted by oeb11 View Post
UC - good point

You will never convince SR , however.

regardless - let the DPST enjoy and believe their LSM polls - Leave them convinced of Victory for Biden on nov 3 - Let them stay home and worship Lenin and Stalin, and LOSE the election, as they should with a demented, Racist candidate who would be excoriated by LSM in ways they are not able to attack Trump.
If there is one thing that Democrats should have learned from 2016 is to not be over-confident. 2018 midterms had a massive Democratic voter turnout. I expect the same in 2020.
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Old 08-09-2020, 06:26 PM   #33
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Originally Posted by adav8s28 View Post
Oeb11, in case you did not know "Real Clear Politics" is Hannity's (of Fox News) favorite pollster. You need to get up to speed.

I live in tony North Dallas, I can take care of myself. You forgot, I am getting the same SS amount as Waco Kid (give or take $40 per month), Eccie's version of Thurston Howe the 3rd.

'a' cannot spell Sacramento

Hannity's favorite pollster is irrelevant
Where you live and mortgage u pay is irrelevant - and posting it as some sort of validation of One's opinion is only exposing severe insecurity about oneself (ala Bragging) that might be helped by some long term intensive therapy.

As far as Mr. Howell - the character from 'Gilligan's Island' - 'a' does quite a good job being pompous - and is not acting.

If you are surviving on SS I must point out you had opportunities to save for retirement .



Thank You.



'SS' - did you mean the now revived DPST Schutzstaffel???
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Old 08-10-2020, 04:57 AM   #34
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Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm View Post

biden's polls will continue to decline.
Wait until he makes his VP pick this week!

The DimWits are procrastinating until after the mail-in voting.

When was the last time that a candidate picked his/her VP AFTER VOTING BEGAN?
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Old 08-10-2020, 06:22 AM   #35
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Originally Posted by LexusLover View Post
Wait until he makes his VP pick this week!

The DimWits are procrastinating until after the mail-in voting.

When was the last time that a candidate picked his/her VP AFTER VOTING BEGAN?
Usually a VP candidate is named almost right before the convention and sometimes at the convention. Trump named Pence 4 days before the convention. Clinton named Kaine 5 days before the convention. However, both conventions were in mid July in 2016 as opposed to mid August this year.
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Old 08-10-2020, 07:56 AM   #36
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Polls yea okay
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