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10-26-2012, 05:50 PM
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#1
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Oct 30, 2009
Location: Houston
Posts: 1,648
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Right and left wingnuts just go here and stop filling this board with drudge.com spam for fuck sakes
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...egory/politics
sigh
Educate yourselves and stop letting Rush, Hannity, and drudge lead you by the dick and clit.
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10-26-2012, 06:12 PM
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#2
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Feb 15, 2012
Location: Houston
Posts: 10,342
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Propaganda you can believe in......
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10-26-2012, 06:46 PM
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#3
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Gaining Momentum
Join Date: Feb 3, 2010
Location: San Antonio, Tx
Posts: 64
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The 538 blog picked the winner in 49 of 50 states in 2008. The statistical geek (Nate Silver) knows his stuff. Right now, he has Obama with a 72% chance of re-election..
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10-26-2012, 09:32 PM
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#4
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Clarksville
Posts: 61,036
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I think there are 538 polls that these douchebags read every day.
Silver knows his stuff. Tonight he said he had Obama a 75% favorite.
Unfortunately we've got a pack of folks around here who spend their day posting and reposting conspiracy drivel, racist blather and flat out lies.
Without casting aspersions, that makes them assholes!
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10-26-2012, 10:31 PM
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#5
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 4, 2010
Location: Stillwater, OK
Posts: 3,631
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the New York Times? the liberal rag that it is
here is the most reliable poll Rasmussen
Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% .
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Romney 50%, Obama 47%
Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46%
Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48%
Arizona: Romney 52%, Obama 44%
keep smoking those funny cigs and you will never see the real world
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10-27-2012, 12:21 AM
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#6
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Clarksville
Posts: 61,036
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Rasmussen is a poll, with traditionally cooked numbers. I like Silver's. it isn't a poll but a very sophisticated probability model.
which means you probably won't understand it
Pretty fucking obvious from your post, Big Bird
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10-27-2012, 08:19 AM
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#7
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 20, 2011
Location: kansas
Posts: 28,773
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consensus now is Romney might win the popular vote and still loose the election..
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10-27-2012, 09:16 AM
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#8
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Here.
Posts: 13,781
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Predictive modeling is bullshit, polls are based on current opinions, and pollsters don't monkey around with predictions. Believe Silver's predictions if it makes you feel good.
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10-27-2012, 09:20 AM
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#9
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Jan 3, 2010
Location: Here.
Posts: 13,781
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But your 538 spam is ok?
BTW, a deaf,dumb and blind man could have predicted the 08 outcome.
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10-27-2012, 10:49 AM
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#10
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Feb 15, 2012
Location: Houston
Posts: 10,342
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We are one day closer to the election results.
My prediction is that if Obama wins then it will be proven without a doubt that this nation has more dumb-asses without a lick of common sense than people that understand what the man is working toward. It is fucked up, Jim and if we don't do something about it in this election we are lost as a free nation.
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