Interesting article by David Chapman. I'd like to know why he thinks the polls in 2018 were inaccurate.
"Instead, the election we wound up with was one where everything was quite … dare I say it? … predictable. Polls and forecasts, including FiveThirtyEight’s forecast, were highly accurate and did about as well as you could expect."
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...forecasts-did/
Polls can be wrong and no one should put 100% faith in them. One fact Chapman does not point out is that no POTUS running for reelection has won with a negative approval rating. Trump's approval rating in currently in the -10% range. And I doubt anyone running for POTUS has won with a national polling average of -9 to -10%. Clinton was +3 on election day and barely lost.
Victory still comes down to the state level and many battleground states are very close. I predicted a long time ago Trump would not win any state that Clinton won in 2016 and that looks like a safe bet. We'll find out in 17 days how accurate the rest of my predictions are.
